Philosophy – Page 101 – William M. Briggs

Pascal & Barzun On Scientism

Blaise Pascal was a man smarter than I and smarter than thou. He was a scientist, mathematician, probabilist, and was deeply, deeply Catholic. Pascal as scientist warned against trusting science…

Philosophy Statistics

Logical Probability Data Analysis, Measurement Error Example

Read the introduction to this first. If you don't, you will be lost, lost, lost. Logical probability answer to B The answer to B follows from A. The picture is…

Philosophy Statistics

What Do Means Mean?

Update In order that it does not get lost over the weekend, part two of this post will run on Sunday. This is part one of a two part post,…

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The Alternative To P-Values

I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…

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Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…

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On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…

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On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…

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On The Evidence From Experiments: Part II

Read Part I first. Outcome 3. This sound like good news for you, since all treatment Bobs got better and no placebo Bobs did. Congratulations! The treatment might have caused…

Milton Hathaway on Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice ScienceOctober 13, 2025
In the spirit of "all models are wrong, but some are useful", I'm willing to take a closer look at…
Mark Miller on Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice ScienceOctober 13, 2025
This post my move you up on the Hague's list. If you were a betting man would you bet the…
Brian (bulaoren) on Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG WayOctober 9, 2025
47 > 46
Lou on Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG WayOctober 9, 2025
68 > 67
Johnno on The Lancet’s New Push To Ban MeatOctober 9, 2025
A short extract from "Remarks to the Commonwealth Club" by Michael Crichton, San Francisco, September 15, 2003. "Today, one of…