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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Tobacco Ads Could Lead To Cancer Cure

Today's headline is true. True means that which is certain, without the possibility of error; that which is not false; that which accords with reality. It means that which is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Scientists Discover Way To Increase Publication Count

Anybody who has spent any time in a university library amidst the papers of his specialty knows that the absolute last thing which is needed is more of them. Journals…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Should Philosophers Of Statistics Do?

A while back, far longer than it should have been, D.G. Mayo asked me to stop by her place and comment on a couple of posts. But laziness and excessive…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Never Say “Caused By Chance”

One of the services of this blog is grammatical guidance. In that spirit, here are phrases which should be forbidden, and will be once I am in charge (all highlights…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Relevance, Tolerance, And Vanishing Christianity

From Tim Stanley of the Telegraph: America's liberal Christians might be progressive and inclusive, but they are also dying out. The marketing mantra of liberal Christianity is "change or die."…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Oh Good, We Have Consensus About Climate Change

See if you agree with me: agreeing with me isn't proof that that which we agree about is true. Doesn't mean that that which we agree about is wrong, neither,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!

(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics---but I've only changed the title 342…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part IV

Read Part III Just review and clarification this time, folks. Dirty hard work. But necessary given the confusion from last post. Time to pump some neurons! Next time we---finally!---get to…
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  1. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Can't agree with Briggs on this, I agree with Tesla; "Today's scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander…

  2. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Willis, I have just about finished a brief answer to you (about 3,000 words), which because of the importance and…

  3. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Eschenbach you're becoming a caricature of modern scientism. I've explained to you why your Aunt Sally is bogus and the…

  4. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    John, I asked a THEORETICAL question. Pointing out that there are real-world options is MEANINGLESS to my question. How about…

  5. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    Eschenbach, card counting was arrived at by an empirically derived process. That's not the same as having bogus statistical theories…

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