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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Tautology Tautology: Day Two Teaching

Since probability is the completion---we do not say "branch"---of logic, and logic is the science of the relations between propositions, probability is also the study of the relations between propositions.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I Was Wrong About Axioms: Day One Teaching

I was wrong about how belief in axioms are held. I was not wrong about the beliefs themselves, which is to say, the axioms which we all know and love…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: First Steps In The Scientific Proof Of God

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. Previous post. We have reached at long last the happiest part…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: How Through Reason We’ll Prove God’s Existence

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. This is the last of the necessary but, it must be…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Nine Counter-Arguments To Frequentism

It is well to collect cogent proofs of frequentism's failings so that supporters of that theory can look upon them and find joy. Alan Hájek has done yeoman service in…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Faith, Proof, & The A Priori

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide. Chapter 5: That those things which cannot be investigated by reason are fittingly proposed to man as an…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Killing Children Legally In Belgium

Euthanasia, the purposeful killing of another human being supposing or claiming his consent, represents the triumph of utilitarianism. When a life is deemed no longer "useful" or capable of generating…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Such Thing As Intrinsic Probability

This is less fun than looking at the so-called principle of indifference, which you must read first, and I realize we're wading into the depths and on a Friday, but…
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  1. Briggs on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 13, 2026

    Anon. I believe you'll find they are the same. I did a little shorthand by first taking the absolute value…

  2. Anonymous on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 13, 2026

    Errata: your moneyline formula should have (x - 100) in the denominator for -x.

  3. Dana on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    I was cured of buying lotto tickets about 40 years ago when a Brisbane newspaper published an article about gambling,…

  4. John M on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 12, 2026

    1. Substack stops copying social media on their homepage and when they realize Substack is for people who want to…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    It's even worse; "Handicap" is now a forbidden term.

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