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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Scientists: Moral Traits Considered Most Essential Part Of Identity

Answer me this. You're on the job and the fancy iH20 cooler (with remote iPhone app) blows and shoots a bolt through your skull. The doctors say removing the bolt…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part Last

Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Is Logic: Philosophy of Probability & Statistics Video Series

I'm starting---and even continuing, if there is interest---a new video series on the philosophy of probability and statistics. Look at those retro production values! I boast of them following Julia…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

On Intelligence & Religiosity

Take a pencil and paper---do this---and write down the most intelligent people who have ever lived. Most brilliant in any field of endeavor, now. Who were the best of us?…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part II

Read Part I, Part Paradox I claimed, and it is true, that all statistical problems could be written $latex \Pr(p|q)$, where p is a proposition of interest and q is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Paradox Digression

Read Part I We're taking a small digression to answer a question put by Deborah Mayo in Part I, pointing to this article on her site. Mayo should be on…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part I

It's so simple that you'll think I'm kidding. Worse, the way I'll show it is such a radical departure from the manner in which you're used to thinking about probability…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Scientific Idea Is Ready For Retirement? Hypothesis Tests

Edge asked a whopping number of named persons which ideas are ready to be expunged from the thing that is Science. Somehow my invitation got lost in the aether, an…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study SeriouslyFebruary 17, 2026

    Thank you for the vivid disembowelment of the confidence intervals, which reminds me of my linear estimation statistics class of…

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    When you think of the AI revolution, should it happen, think of "Privatize the profits, socialize the costs." The profits…

  3. John Pate on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 17, 2026

    AI is actually Indians, that is to say in a call centre somewhere someone is monitoring every "autonomous" vehicle/robot/machine except…

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    Bill: I've got a friend who is enthralled by all the wonderful things AI can do. He is well-connected in…

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