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Three New Coronadoom Books
Posted inStatistics

Three New Coronadoom Books

Three new books on the doom out this past week, one bad, two good. The bad, the very, very bad, outsells the good ten to one. Let's start at the…
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Computer Models Aren’t Science — Guest Post by Robert Kurland
Posted inStatistics

Computer Models Aren’t Science — Guest Post by Robert Kurland

This piece ran originally at The American Catholic, but Kurland graciously allowed us to re-run it here. It is a topic of deep interest for us. INTRODUCTION We keep reading…
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Local & Necessary Truths In Mathematical Proofs — And Probability
Posted inStatistics

Local & Necessary Truths In Mathematical Proofs — And Probability

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pp06oGD4m00 This video requires little math beyond what used to be taught in college. Its speaker is Terry Tao, who some say is the world's best living mathematician. Its (fun---truly)…
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Catholics Can Certainly Vote For Joe Biden
Posted inStatistics

Catholics Can Certainly Vote For Joe Biden

Lot of discussion out in the wilds and thickets of the interwebs about whether Catholics can vote for Joe "Who Am I?" Biden. Many say Catholics cannot vote for Biden,…
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The Price of Panic: How the Tyranny of Experts Turned a Pandemic into a Catastrophe — Coronavirus Update XXXV
Posted inStatistics

The Price of Panic: How the Tyranny of Experts Turned a Pandemic into a Catastrophe — Coronavirus Update XXXV

BECOME A SUPER-SPREADER! The book has finally arrived! Spread it far, and Spread it wide; Spread it till it hurts inside. Here's the PR: For the first time in history,…
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A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox

Let's take a break from the insanity and wade into cool waters to start the weekend. I'll take it that you've watched this video, which purports to give a solution…
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It’s OVER, Yet The Coronadoom Corpse Walks On: Updates — Coronavirus Update XXXIV
Posted inStatistics

It’s OVER, Yet The Coronadoom Corpse Walks On: Updates — Coronavirus Update XXXIV

Testing is already at stupid levels, but it is scheduled to increase. This can make a dead epidemic seem still alive. Testing will make coronadoom zombies. Please spread this post…
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Trump Likely To Survive The Coronadoom
Posted inStatistics

Trump Likely To Survive The Coronadoom

After I wrote this, I went over to Drudge, which I rarely do these days, and he's on full blown hersteria about Trump's illness. Hilarious. So Trump has caught the…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  2. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

  3. Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…

  4. Tars Tarkas on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If you can, can you do the example of the Hooker Chemical Love Canal allegedly random cancer cluster in children?…

  5. Tim on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    I enjoyed this discussion. I am very interested in hearing you gentlemen continue discussing nitrogen.

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