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Dissed By Thunk Tank Climate Flacks In Nature Magazine
Posted inStatistics

Dissed By Thunk Tank Climate Flacks In Nature Magazine

I'm going to have to start charging you guys for reading this blog. For I am now a named person and known associate of top minds. Like Freeman Dyson. Yes,…
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Uploading Ourselves Into Machines Is Impossible
Posted inStatistics

Uploading Ourselves Into Machines Is Impossible

Turns out Marvin Minsky, the AI guy, was one of Jeffrey Epstein's clients. There is an interesting twist to this. The investigator (same as in the above link, from whom…
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The Best College (For Most) Is No College
Posted inStatistics

The Best College (For Most) Is No College

Most people do not use, and do not need to use, any form of mathematics higher than addition and subtraction, and in rarer cases in multiplying and dividing simple numbers.…
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That Study Claiming Religious Kids Are Less Altruistic That I Said Stinks Was Retracted
Posted inStatistics

That Study Claiming Religious Kids Are Less Altruistic That I Said Stinks Was Retracted

Long-time readers will recall the original criticisms of the paper "The Negative Association between Religiousness and Children's Altruism across the World" by Jean Decety, Jason M. Cowell, Kang Lee, Susan…
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Eat Soy, Save The Planet: Al Gore Update
Posted inStatistics

Eat Soy, Save The Planet: Al Gore Update

Eat Soy, Save The Planet. Save the planet from what and for whom we are never told. A climate with a slight increase in global mean temperature can't destroy the…
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When Does A Small Probability Mean Impossibility?
Posted inClass Statistics

When Does A Small Probability Mean Impossibility?

Question from reader Richard Stevens: A professional scientist, holding an MS in one of the hard sciences, addressed the argument that the probability of creating a protein or an enzyme…
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Reader Question: Sinking Feeling Organizational Psychology May Have Fundamental Flaws
Posted inStatistics

Reader Question: Sinking Feeling Organizational Psychology May Have Fundamental Flaws

From reader Paul comes this important question (I eliminated personal information to keep the reader's anonymity): I'm reading through your book, "Uncertainty" and while I enjoy the philosophical approach to…
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What’s The Probability Of A Nuclear War?
Posted inStatistics

What’s The Probability Of A Nuclear War?

For readers in a hurry, here's the answer: There is no probability of a nuclear war. Nor of a conventional one. Nor even of you being victor in your next…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026

    The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…

  2. C-Marie on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026

    Well, I do knpw that Malchi Martin and David McCullough were great authors.... The Final Conclave and John Adams, respectively.…

  3. NLR on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    People have a variety of different reading habits. So the best thing to accommodate that is to preserve a variety…

  4. Johnno on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    Briggs, have you tried ONE PIECE ?

  5. Eyrie on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    Yep, finding the same thing. Unfortunately many of the good authors have died. We lost Michael F Flynn a couple…

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