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William M. Briggs

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New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof
Posted inStatistics

New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof

Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…
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New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing
Posted inStatistics

New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing

Here's a link to the PDF. Briggs, WM, HT Nguyen, D Trafimow, 2019. The Replacement for Hypothesis Testing. In Structural Changes and Their Econometric Modeling, Springer, V Kreinovich, S Sriboonchitta…
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The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Last December 19th President Trump ordered the withdrawal of 2,000 American troops from Syria. The New York Times called the action "abrupt and chaotic" and reported: The decision brought a…
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A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study
Posted inStatistics

A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study

We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…
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The Probability Of Your Existence
Posted inStatistics

The Probability Of Your Existence

A version of this column originally ran 7 July 2014. To the nearest order of magnitude, there have existed, including us, about 100 billion human beings. This proves what was…
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The Monty Hall Problem — Solved!
Posted inStatistics

The Monty Hall Problem — Solved!

In honor of Monty Hall, who passed away this past weekend (in October 2017), this classic article (which ran long ago, the date lost due to the hacking, solving his…
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How Many Geniuses Are There?
Posted inStatistics

How Many Geniuses Are There?

This post originally appeared 15 September 2008. Here is a question I often give on exams: What is the probability that the next child to be born will be a…
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The Probability of Monkeys Typing Shakespeare
Posted inFun Statistics

The Probability of Monkeys Typing Shakespeare

This article, which originally appeared 20 May 2010, was inspired by reading Fredwin On Evolution, as wisely suggested by reader Bob Ludwick. At the bottom of Fred's piece, there appears…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026

    The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…

  2. Idonotreadcomments on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026

    First of all, you only need to visit a big chain bookstore to know that the fiction market is driven…

  3. C-Marie on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026

    Well, I do knpw that Malchi Martin and David McCullough were great authors.... The Final Conclave and John Adams, respectively.…

  4. NLR on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    People have a variety of different reading habits. So the best thing to accommodate that is to preserve a variety…

  5. Johnno on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    Briggs, have you tried ONE PIECE ?

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