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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Induction & Essence

Suppose we observe a raven. It's black. We see a second, also black. And so on for a few dozen more. We reason, or rather we argue with ourselves, "Since…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Big Bang, Eternal Inflation & Many Worlds

We're back to our Edge series of ideas scientists wish more people knew about. Today is John C. Mather and the Big Bang. Mather isn't pleased with popular conceptions. What…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: NOAA Whistleblower Claims Data Were ‘Adjusted’ to Make Global Warming Seem Worse

Stream: NOAA Whistleblower Claims Data Were 'Adjusted' to Make Global Warming Seem Worse: Climatology, Not The Planet, Is Running A Fever. A scientist-whistleblower has accused the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric…
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Posted inStatistics

The Consensus That Wasn’t: Less Than 1%, Not 97%

If I hear that "97% of scientists agree..." nonsense number just one more time---why, I'll laugh. And why not? It is comedy in its best democratic form. That screwy figure…
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Posted inStatistics

Big Data, Big Predictions — Big Deal!

The title, you'll be shocked to learn, is sarcastic. You'll forgive the tone after reading NBC's article "Big Data's Big Misses: 2016 Was a Bad Year For Predictions", which opens…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Vatican’s Biological Extinction Conference

It's old news now that the Pontifical Academy of Sciences has invited the death loving and appalling and serially wrong Paul Ehrlich to its conference on Biological Extinction. LifeSite reports:…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Demon Possessed Doll & Little Girl

You might have seen the video of the little girl playing near a doll, a doll which twitches its head without visible promoting. The video switches views and sees the…
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Posted inStatistics

Reality-Based Climate Forecasting — Guest Post by Paul Driessen

Editor's note: since I am sick unto death of the weak anemic emaciated runtish political science of climatology, I refuse to write about it. I can point you to shenanigans…
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  1. spetzer86 on Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The ScienceAugust 7, 2025

    I'm assuming they only asked pilots of fixed-wing aircraft and not those rotary-wing pilots flying in the Washington, DC area.

  2. spetzer86 on Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1August 7, 2025

    A person could still game your system by doing something complicated but not impossible. For example, repeatedly selecting one card…

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    > Today they take people who docs declare are in “irreversible coma” etc. and not “brain dead”. They are wheeled…

  4. hudbwu on Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The ScienceAugust 7, 2025

    A simple way to improve the study is to fire the subjects that don't fulfil some perfomance criterion. That would…

  5. Lou on Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1August 7, 2025

    Hello, Class 60: I am sticking with it, and its not at all too difficult. Please keep going at your…

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