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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

Tests For Randomness Aren’t What You Think

Here is a random event. When I wrote this article I either had a quarter or a nickel in my pocket; I did not have both. Did I have a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Decision Analysis Isn’t Straightforward

Vast subject, decision analysis, but we can get a grip on a corner of it if we consider the simplest of problems, the do-don't do, yes-no, gonna happen-ain't gonna happen,…
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Posted inStatistics

You Need To Beat More Than Just The Odds

Note: this is a sketch of a talk I gave yesterday at a conference filled with computer programmers, network and software engineers. This is Las Vegas, the land of magic.…
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Posted inStatistics

Two Common Statistical Fallacies

Here are two fun fallacies, excerpted from a paper I wrote a couple of years ago in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. For more on this sort of…
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Posted inStatistics

Real Versus Statistical Control

The ideal experiment is one in which control is exerted over all aspects of an environment. We desire to measure an outcome; for ease suppose this is a simple number.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Don’t Be Uncertain: Buy Uncertainty!

The Restoration has begun! Participate by buying Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Money spent wisely I do not say revolution, but Restoration. It is past time to…
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Posted inStatistics

A Simple (But Not Short) Stats Question

From reader JH: Thank you again for taking the time to write your blog. It is exceptionally thought-provoking. My job involves much of the six sigma "capability" studies and such.…
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Posted inStatistics

To Undergo Chemotherapy Or Not

Headline: "How I used math to conquer my cancer" by Michael Kaplan. Gist: fellow named Reitzen, 45, discovered he had kidney cancer. "The doctor came up to my house and…
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  1. Briggs on In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No ValueSeptember 23, 2025

    Mark, Tomorrow. Thanks.

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on The Charlie Kirk Killing Theories: The (Non)-Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories 2September 23, 2025

    Has Occam's razor been banned yet?

  3. NLR on In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No ValueSeptember 23, 2025

    Such science is a genuine problem, but it's far down the list of the problems plaguing humanity right now. Generally,…

  4. Zundfolge on The Charlie Kirk Killing Theories: The (Non)-Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories 2September 23, 2025

    I propose a Unified Field Theory of Conspiracy Theories. Most of them are false, and the false ones used to…

  5. Cary Cotterman on The Charlie Kirk Killing Theories: The (Non)-Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories 2September 23, 2025

    Ever since L. H. Oswald, every assassination has had endless alternate theories, always involving another shooter, coverups, the CIA or…

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