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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Predictions For 2017—Register Yours Today!

Once more unto the breach! We did well last year, but we had the advantage of a neat unambiguous set of predictions all could make, i.e. the United States primaries…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

How’d We Do On Our 2016 Predictions?

This was an interesting year because we had a general dichotmous proposition of interest to many; or rather, two. Who would win the (Republican) primary and who would win the…
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Posted inStatistics

The Politicization Of Science Organizations: The Firing Of Michael Lubell

What might pass for a small item reveals much about the state of science, and in particular about science organizations. The stately American Physical Society, a political-scientific, or scientific-political, or…
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Posted inStatistics

Scott Adams’s Climate Science Challenge

Scott Adams's Climate Science Challenge is of interest---thanks to reader Francsois for bringing it to our attention---because of his name-brand recognition. Here is the gist: So today's challenge is to…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Some Statistics On What The Sexual Rebellion Wraught

I'm always complaining of statistics gone awry, but a constant diet of bad news can lead to bad things, like a desire to listen to NPR or to use PowerPoint.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Mathematical Association of America Reviews Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

William J. Satzer at the Mathematical Association of America reviewed Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Here it is (ellipsis below original). This is a book about probability…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Who’s Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

Stream: Who's Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls? The NBC News story "Female Doctors Outperform Male Doctors, According to Study" makes these bold claims. Patients treated by women are…
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Posted inStatistics

Pascal’s Mugging Is Silly: Events Don’t “Have” Probabilities

Before we begin, see this similar article about a different mugging scenario, which demonstrated that all probability is conditional and that decision isn't probability. Here's the serious version of Pascal's…
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  1. spetzer86 on Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The ScienceAugust 7, 2025

    I'm assuming they only asked pilots of fixed-wing aircraft and not those rotary-wing pilots flying in the Washington, DC area.

  2. spetzer86 on Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1August 7, 2025

    A person could still game your system by doing something complicated but not impossible. For example, repeatedly selecting one card…

  3. hudbwu on New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest BountyAugust 7, 2025

    > Today they take people who docs declare are in “irreversible coma” etc. and not “brain dead”. They are wheeled…

  4. hudbwu on Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The ScienceAugust 7, 2025

    A simple way to improve the study is to fire the subjects that don't fulfil some perfomance criterion. That would…

  5. Lou on Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1August 7, 2025

    Hello, Class 60: I am sticking with it, and its not at all too difficult. Please keep going at your…

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