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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

How To Resolve All Probability Paradoxes: Apples In Sack Example

Via Alexander Bogomolny?: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Pew: Partisan Divides Over Political Values Widen, Part II

Read Part I first. On the subject of Islamic violence (see the picture leading the article), Pew says: While overall public views have shifted only modestly, the partisan gap on…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Pew: Partisan Divides Over Political Values Widen, Part I

Pew has a survey out which measures, sort of, our increasing political and cultural apartness (a.k.a. apartheid). The gap between the political values of Democrats and Republicans is now larger…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Most Depressing (Government) Graph

Stream: The Most Depressing (Government) Graph There is no one picture that can capture the inexorable rise and reach of Leviathan, but if you had to pick just one, the…
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Posted inStatistics

How Suspicious Is It To Win The Lottery Multiple Times?

So this Pennsylvanian named Nadine Vukovich "a Mechanicsburg veterinarian, has claimed 209 scratch tickets, each worth $600 or more, over 12 years. Collectively she's won about $350,000." This streak caused…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

SJWs Coming For Mathematics

Stream: SJWs Coming For Mathematics Great news! For those kids who will be taught math by teachers graduating from Texas State University's Math Education program, life just got easier. This…
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Posted inStatistics

Do Not Read This Article On Why You Don’t Have Free Will

There is a certain charm in a fellow who can bring himself to write "We humans like to think of ourselves as mindful creatures" while intimating it isn't so. Yet…
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Posted inStatistics

Clever Statistical Method To Discover Fraud (Or Mistakes)

This is in the I-wish-I-had-thought-of-it category. A simple tool that suggests where fraud or major malfunctions in statistical research might exist. First, a description of the tool; second, a description…
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  1. Robert Berger on Physics & Vertical Causation: The End of Quantum Reality by Wolfgang Smith ReviewedFebruary 1, 2026

    Thel Physics comments miss the entire metaphysical point ! (for the most part) We are now getting back to essence.…

  2. Robert Berger on Wolfgang Smith’s Vision Of Oneness — Guest Post by Ianto WattFebruary 1, 2026

    Whatever failures there are in the human writings and thought of Wolfgang Smith, he is the best mind on Physics…

  3. Paul Fischer on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 30, 2026

    Great lecture, William. Took a year of time series in grad school...all math, zero discussion of how fragile “trends” really…

  4. Martin on Fatima, Russia & You, Part IV — Guest Post by Ianto WattJanuary 30, 2026

    Brilliant. Thank you.

  5. spetzer86 on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 29, 2026

    You also need to consider the amount of trust in the data over time. If you have any reason to…

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