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Posted inBook review Statistics

Mathematical Association of America Reviews Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

William J. Satzer at the Mathematical Association of America reviewed Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Here it is (ellipsis below original). This is a book about probability…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Who’s Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

Stream: Who's Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls? The NBC News story "Female Doctors Outperform Male Doctors, According to Study" makes these bold claims. Patients treated by women are…
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Posted inStatistics

Pascal’s Mugging Is Silly: Events Don’t “Have” Probabilities

Before we begin, see this similar article about a different mugging scenario, which demonstrated that all probability is conditional and that decision isn't probability. Here's the serious version of Pascal's…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Statistician to the Stars For Hire!

Herein our semi-annual reminder that the purpose of this blog is mercenary. Filthy lucre is both impetus and goal of its daily readings. Moola, the spondulicks, the government's glory, the…
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Posted inStatistics

Muggings, Nuclear Devices, Probability & Decision

Somehow I ended up on the curious site LessWrong.com, directed by somebody with the nickname Yud (from Eliezer Yudkowsky). Odd isn't in it. Investigating it led me to Reddit and…
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Posted inStatistics

Don’t Use Statistical Models (When You Don’t Have To. Which Is Nearly Always)

Today, a convincing argument proving the current practice of probability and statistics is mostly wrong, or wrong-headed. The picture above does---and does not---show herbicide use in several countries by year…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Science Asks: Why Are Angry Atheists Annoying?

What's more annoying than an atheist who harangues passersby about "rationality"? Easy answer: a scientist who announces a discovery about human behavior that was known by everybody since Adam. Our…
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Posted inStatistics

Scientific People Understand Reality Less, New Research Didn’t Study

Headline: Religious people understand the world less, study suggests, which derives from the peer-reviewed paper "Does Poor Understanding of Physical World Predict Religious and Paranormal Beliefs?" in Applied Cognitive Psychology…
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  1. Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    Cary, You have read incompletely. God is a necessary being, else there could be no world. That is the classical…

  2. Cary Cotterman on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    "I, a man of 10,000, 5,000, or 2,000 years ago, cannot see how the world functions, therefore I posit (invent)…

  3. Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    OK, but, for example, what denominations forget God is the First Cause? Most of the high church denominations say every…

  4. Brad Tittle on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    My point of view is always wrong. Everyone elses point of view is always correct in their reference frame. How…

  5. Chaeremon on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    evolution possesses a [divine, what else] intelligence through which instinct and subsequently [evolutionary! what else] rationality ar|wer|e invented.

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