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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

On The Cubs’ & Trump’s Victories, Nate Silver’s Predictions & All That

https://twitter.com/ThaRightStuff/status/794045050753794048 Some crow is presumably being eaten by Nate Silver and the folks at FiveThirtyEight.com this fine morning. I recommend they bake it into a pie (which I learnt from…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

A Deep Philosophical Account Of Probability

Another review of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, this one taken from an Amazon customer. It was 7 or 8 years ago when I was sitting in…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Media Lying With Polls? Is The Pope…Er…Ah, Never Mind

Today's post is at The Stream: Be Skeptical of the Polls: Is the media lying to boost Hillary? Note: I'm putting the Summary Against Modern Thought Sunday series on hiatus…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Is It Okay To Eat Pigs And Not Dogs? Science Does Not Have The Answer

Opening sentence of the abstract in the peer-reviewed paper "When Meat Gets Personal, Animals' Minds Matter Less: Motivated Use of Intelligence Information in Judgments of Moral Standing" in Social Psychological…
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Posted inStatistics

One World Without Borders Would Lead To Tyranny

Hillary, in her own words, said "My dream is a hemispheric common market, with open trade and open borders". She said it, but it's not clear if she believes it.…
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Posted inStatistics

Statistical Models CANNOT Show Cause, But EVERYBODY Thinks They Can. Hence the Replication CRISIS

Please pass this on to ANY researcher who uses statistics. Pretty please. With sugar on top. Like I say below, it's far far far far far past time to cease…
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Posted inStatistics

God’s Gift To Molecular Biology: The Hydrogen Bond — Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Editor's note: a version of this post originally appeared at Reflections of a Catholic Science. It has been recognized that hydrogen bonds restrain protein molecules to their native configurations, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: EPA Issues 57-State Climate Warning!

Today's post is at the Stream: EPA Issues 57-State Climate Warning! Strike that. It's a 50-State warning. That 57 came from elsewhere in the Obama administration. Well, 50 is less…
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  1. Maypo on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    Wow, (re)reading a TOFian essay makes it so blasted plain how much I miss the man. May he rest in…

  2. hudbwu on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    > If I were God, and loved rational creatures, I would make myriad rational species; He should come back in…

  3. NLR on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    What gets me about these kind of arguments is that they presuppose too much. People will have extensive debates about…

  4. Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    Cary, You have read incompletely. God is a necessary being, else there could be no world. That is the classical…

  5. Cary Cotterman on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    "I, a man of 10,000, 5,000, or 2,000 years ago, cannot see how the world functions, therefore I posit (invent)…

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