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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

The Hierarchy Of Models: From Causal (Best) To Statistical (Worst)

There is a hierarchy of models in the sense they offer insight into the thing modeled. The order of importance is: causal, deterministic, probabilistic, statistical. Most models use mixtures of…
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Posted inStatistics

Computers Can Find Future Criminals? Why, Computers Can Do Anything!

There is a belief---a persistent and beguiling, yet false belief---that a formula exists that can predict anything. This formula will differ, it is thought, by the thing predicted, and it…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Uncertainty (#1 New Release in Statistics) Book Page — Here Are The Details. Update!

This isn't the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: Homicide Rates, Black vs. White, Sex, Guns & Government

Today's post is at The Stream: The Murder Rate has Plunged Since 1990...But Big Gov Knows How to Turn That Around. Go there for the narration and data explanation. Here's…
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Posted inStatistics

Publishing & Equality Are Killing Science

Equality kills everything it touches, eventually. So much is well known. It is also realized by regular readers that requiring academics to publish or perish causes them to perish intellectually.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Uncertainty: Foreword by Steven Goldberg

Steve Goldberg was president of the sociology department at City College of New York (CCNY) from 1988 until his retirement (back when they knew how to do sociology). He is…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Government Lab Has Been Faking Data for Years

Today's post (more a news report) is at The Stream: Government Lab Has Been Faking Data for Years. A person or persons at the same US Geological Survey Lab in…
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Posted inStatistics

Shocking New Research: Hunger Motivates Eating

Ladies and gentlemen, the opening line of the peer-reviewed paper "Hunger promotes acquisition of nonfood objects" appearing in the (once) venerable organ Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, by…
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  1. Briggs on The Dysgenics Of IVFNovember 28, 2025

    Anne, Ah, Julian Savulescu. A known lunatic. Thanks.

  2. Anne Webb on The Dysgenics Of IVFNovember 28, 2025

    You should take a look at this, where one of the authors argues that we may have a moral obligation…

  3. passerby on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 27, 2025

    > Too many people know about these prophecies Fat lot of good that did for Cassandra, finest prophet ever.

  4. spaceranger on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 27, 2025

    The online world is our graven image and celebrity culture our false idol.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of ThanksgivingNovember 27, 2025

    One thing I am always grateful for (well, 4 days a week) is being able to enjoy your posts. Thank…

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