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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Statistics

March For Politics, Scientism & Scidolatry

Stream: March For Politics, Scientism & Scidolatry. The upcoming March for Science---check with your nearest purple-haired activist for directions and times---is to no one's surprise turning out to be one…
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Posted inStatistics

Union Of Nervous Scientists Hate Facts About Global Warming

Stream: Union Of Nervous Scientists Hate Facts About Global Warming: Don't say 'climate change'. We were promised global warming. No scientist I have ever met has ever---and I mean never---denied…
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Posted inStatistics

Tests For Randomness Aren’t What You Think

Here is a random event. When I wrote this article I either had a quarter or a nickel in my pocket; I did not have both. Did I have a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Decision Analysis Isn’t Straightforward

Vast subject, decision analysis, but we can get a grip on a corner of it if we consider the simplest of problems, the do-don't do, yes-no, gonna happen-ain't gonna happen,…
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Posted inStatistics

You Need To Beat More Than Just The Odds

Note: this is a sketch of a talk I gave yesterday at a conference filled with computer programmers, network and software engineers. This is Las Vegas, the land of magic.…
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Posted inStatistics

Two Common Statistical Fallacies

Here are two fun fallacies, excerpted from a paper I wrote a couple of years ago in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. For more on this sort of…
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Posted inStatistics

Real Versus Statistical Control

The ideal experiment is one in which control is exerted over all aspects of an environment. We desire to measure an outcome; for ease suppose this is a simple number.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Don’t Be Uncertain: Buy Uncertainty!

The Restoration has begun! Participate by buying Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Money spent wisely I do not say revolution, but Restoration. It is past time to…
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  1. John M on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Thanks for reminding me of that classic Klingon joke!

  2. Rob Potter on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Asimov's robot stories are the best example that an artificial intelligence is not intelligence. They were a fabulous way for…

  3. John Pate on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    We should all re-read our Ted Kaczynski materials. A man ahead of his time.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    While in university, I took a class called "Symbolic Logic". Logic was then taught through the Philosophy department, which was…

  5. Cary Cotterman on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    Any giant ant who will eat Joan Collins is worth at least his weight in humans.

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