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Posted inStatistics

Heartland Climate Conference: Day 1. Everybody Gets Time Series Wrong

As predicted, there were cigars. But I missed them. The smoking party left without me while I listed to Ireland's version of the Mr Wizard brothers. A science experiment involving…
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Posted inStatistics

I Am In Awe Of What Passes For Science

I'm traveling to the Heartland Climate Conference today. Special speakers dinner and pep talk later, and, rumor has it, cigars and whiskey. I started that rumor, and I have cigars,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Democracy And The Inevitable Erosion Of Standards: Racist Tests Edition

Democracies are born from elite (hierarchical) societies and for a time can and do retain much of their elitism, but since democracy is premised on egalitarianism ("We hold these truths..."),…
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Posted inStatistics

George Gilder’s Information Theory Of Money

This is the second part of a review of George Gilder's monograph The 21st Century Case for Gold: A New Information Theory of Money. The first part, about the return…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

How Many Lousy Predictions Until Error Is Admitted?

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Update Breitbart kindly asked to reprint this, and just did. How long does it take for an expert who has, year upon year after year, made predictions of unrealized…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Heartland Conference, Statistics Classes, Statistics Books, & Statistical Cups

Heartland Conference I'll be there, speaking Friday on "The Need To Believe In 'The Solution' To Global Warming". This is a paper which I'll try to find a home for…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Why Global Warming Models Are Hot And Bothered

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Everybody remembers what happened when Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I published our (what is physics is called) toy model of the climate. Global warming increased!…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

This Week In Doom: Bad Science Edition

3 out of 4 scientists agree The bagatelle about how more than half of published research is wrong---a fact well known to regular readers---is garnering comment hither and yon. Joanne…
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  1. Free Speech Forum on Only Credentialed Artists Can Appreciate ThisAugust 3, 2025

    If you are a law-abiding and responsible person who doesn't have any debt, you might totally lose respect for the…

  2. gareth on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldAugust 3, 2025

    @ NLR Your presumption and guessing are assumptions. Shirley it was more to do with Shaken or Stirred, as with…

  3. gareth on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldAugust 3, 2025

    @ Gespenst Still doesn't account for any feedback given during the tea presentations, overt or accidental or subliminal. Anyway Briggs,…

  4. terry-oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025

    Dear Briggs iBefore proceeding with your book, i recommend that you read the book entitled 'Foundations of Inductive Reading' the…

  5. Terry oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025

    DEAR BRIGGS; YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE FACT THAT tHE PRINCIPLES OF REASONING ARE 'ENTROPY MINIMAX,' AS DESCRIBED BY…

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