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NEW PAPER: Why Models Run Hot: Results From An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model
Posted inStatistics

NEW PAPER: Why Models Run Hot: Results From An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Here's our press release. See also the Daily Mail. WHAT WENT WRONG? A major…
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Posted inStatistics

Do Sunspots Shorten Lives By 5.2 years?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. I have no idea what the answer to that question is. And I doubt…
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Posted inStatistics

The Blocked By @MichaelEMann Club: Register Here

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Sad, too, because there were many! https://www.wmbriggs.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/ransom27.png It's Saturday but I'm somewhat tied up…
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Posted inStatistics

First Annual WMBriggs.com Bad Science Award!

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Announcement In the proud and rarely abused tradition of Honoring Important People, we present…
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Posted inStatistics

Naomi Oreskes Plays Dumb On Statistics And Climate Change

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Remember how I said, again and again---and again---that everybody gets statistics wrong? Here's proof…
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Posted inStatistics

Real Climate Temperature “Trend” Article Gets It Wrong (Like So Many Do)

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Everything that can go wrong with a time series analysis has gone wrong with…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Uselessness Of Lie Detector (And Medical) Screenings, And The Ames Spy Case

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xr8BUxVRwFY This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Have you seen the television series The Assets? Dramatization of the Sandy Grimes-Jeanne…
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Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2014 Predictions?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Time to tally. As has become our tradition, each New Year's Eve we see…
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  1. JRob on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 19, 2025

    The spurious correlation example is the best proof that p values can't be used. That's what you have to hammer…

  2. Glenn Ammons on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 19, 2025

    Thanks, this is a very understandable summary of your arguments against p-values and frequentism. There is a mistake in the…

  3. J. Johnson on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    Well you convinced me to never use p-values, and how to articulate to others why they shouldn’t either. I’d say…

  4. Ed on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    As a teacher who's seen, in the eyes of many a student (pun intended), the inglorious mist of complete misunderstanding,…

  5. Uncle Mike on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    I disagree with your hypothesis that "my career has largely been a failure". You shouldn't expect the world to immediately…

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