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William M. Briggs

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Posted inFun Statistics

Godzilla’s Changing Height: A Statistical Analysis

I grew up watching Channel 50's Creature Feature and Channel 7's 4 pm Monster Week movies, many of which featured Ultraman, Rodan, Gamera, Gargantua, and, of course, Godzilla. Too, I…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Frequentists Are Closet Bayesians: Confidence Interval Edition

Actually, all frequentists and Bayesians are logical probabilists, but if I put that in the title, few would believe it. A man might call himself an Anti-Gravitational Theorist, a science…
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Posted inStatistics

William M. Briggs Sez: Keep That Impressive Middle Initial

You can take it from William M. Briggs, and also from the Today show: sporting a middle initial is a mark of sophistication, intelligence, and rugged manliness---or womanliness, as the…
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Posted inStatistics

Researchers: Calling Girls Fat Makes Them Fat

Whatever you do, don't call somebody a "researcher". It could condemn them to a nasty, brutish, and short-tempered life. The kind where most of their time is spent scrambling for…
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Posted inStatistics

Time Series And Causality: Global Warming Example

Temperature causes Here is an atmospheric monthly average temperature series: T = (61, 69, 69, 70, 72, 65, 63) (all F). What caused the temperature to take the value T1…
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Posted inStatistics

Time Series Aren’t Easy: Tornado Deaths Example

Time series are the most abused statistics in the physical sciences. (It's an endless, raucous, peer-reviewed contest for the worst in the "soft sciences.") The Mann problem (is that a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Physical Probability Doesn’t Exist

There have been many attempts to tie probability to physical chance. Here, briefly and for discussion, is why I think all of them fail. Ontology does not recapitulate epistemology Let…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

A New Possible Solution Of Fermi’s Paradox

What is the probability the following proposition is true? ``There are rational beings other than humans in the universe." Well, given the evidence of angels, who are rational non-human beings,…
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  1. NLR on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    From the link at the end of the post: On the one hand, we have the fabricated research of an…

  2. Eddie on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    Of course, AI will fix this -- hahahaha!!

  3. Cary Cotterman on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    What Uncle Mike said.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    All that wasted ink; One can only pity those poor cephalopods, harvested to produce it. Save The Squids!

  5. Uncle Mike on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    The Senate is a bane to America. They are the worst institution of government, sinking even lower than the House.…

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