Posted inStatistics
We Know The Climate Is Warming Because It Isn’t
What do you call the mental process which allows a man to say "What's firmly established is that the climate is warming" while also holding that "There's been a burst…
Posted inStatistics
Scared Scientists! Climate Terror!
Picture this The heck with evidence: it's how much you care that counts. That sentiment is what's behind Nick Bowers's new Scared Scientists project. Motto: "Nobody is safe"! The far-left…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Global Warming Non-Expert Expert
Reporteritis is the disease, or rather psychiatric condition, common among journalists, brought on by exposure to important people and events. The exposure causes the journalist to feel that he too…
Posted inStatistics
Ask A Scientific Ethicist: Baby Making, Auto Mishap, ISIS Attacks
This was supposed to run this morning. No idea why it didn't. This week, three letters from concerned readers. Too many babies Dear Scientific Ethicist, Hopefully this subject matter isn't…
Posted inStatistics
It Makes No Sense To Say You’re More Likely To Die Of Bee Sting Than Shark Bite
The National Journal says: "The odds of being killed by a shark are about 1 in 3.7 million. The odds of being killed by a sting from a bee, wasp,…
Posted inStatistics
Decline Of Participation In Religious Rituals With Improved Sanitation
Answer me this. Earl at the end of the bar, on his sixth or seventh, tells listeners just what's wrong with America's science policy. His words receive knowing nods from…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability
Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Explanation Vs Prediction
Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…