Statistics – Page 199 – William M. Briggs

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…

Statistics

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…

Statistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…

Statistics

How The 95% IPCC Certainty Falls To The Ground

Busy times at the Briggs ranch. The Evidence series will continue next week. For now, some IPCC fun. The Consensus says its 95% sure that the man has caused the…

Culture Statistics

Armed EPA Ignores Subpoena, Conducts Secret Science, More!

Call the EPA's rule-making Nancy-Pelosi science: you must first pass the regulations before you find out the evidence for them. No: That's not quite right. Because even after its regulations…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part II

Read Part I first. Outcome 3. This sound like good news for you, since all treatment Bobs got better and no placebo Bobs did. Congratulations! The treatment might have caused…

Statistics

The Political Science Of The IPCC

Since the IPCC festival begins this week, I'm alternating posts like this with the series started yesterday. In this thing called Science, just as in other human affairs, one can…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part I

This is going to start slow, unwind at a leisurely pace, and finish, for some, with a depressing conclusion, though we won't get there today. Here's the setup. You've invented…

hudbwu on Over-Certainty Of Polygenic ScoresJune 11, 2025
I stopped midway to write this comment. What exactly is the difference between polygenic scores and two-layer neural networks? Other…
NLR on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 11, 2025
It's not just that the effects of technology are complex, it's that there's no guarantee that the results will fit…
Cloudbuster on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 10, 2025
"Anyway, murder is illegal, too, yet murder is still with us. So it shouldn’t be strange that forbidding scientists to…
Mike Wooly on Cosmic Radiation, Clouds, & Global WarmingJune 10, 2025
The IPCC report that anthropogenic warming is around 0.2 degrees C per decade. That's two hundredths of a degree C…
Chaeremon on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 10, 2025
IMHO the dot ai bubble, as direct follower of the dot com bubble, is trying to instantiate Gödel's incompleteness theorems,…