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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Scrap Statistics, Begin Anew

You or I might perhaps be excused if we sometimes toyed with solipsism, especially when we reflect on the utter failure of our writings to produce the smallest effect in…
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Posted inStatistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky Business: Part Last

Read Part I, Part II. Don't be lazy. This is difficult but extremely important stuff. Let's add in a layer of uncertainty and see what happens. But first hike up…
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Posted inStatistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky Business: Part II

Read Part I. Seriously. Read it. Not everything is easy. Today's stuff is used to make decisions about your life, so pay attention. Cue the organ... When we last left…
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Posted inStatistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky—And Profitable—Business: Part I

Not a trick question: what's the difference between a risk of one in ten million and one of two in ten million? The official answer is "Not much." Though I…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Global Warming To Cause New Crisis. What Will It Be?

Seems the Arctic ice sheet has refused to do what it was told by computer models. The models "conservatively" insisted the ice would be gone entirely by 2013, yet the…
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Posted inStatistics

Analysing Perceptions Of Cute Videos Of Threatened Species

Another peer-reviewed paper for you. "Tickled to Death: Analysing Public Perceptions of 'Cute' Videos of Threatened Species (Slow Lorises -- Nycticebus spp.) on Web 2.0 Sites" by K. Anne-Isola Nekaris…
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Posted inStatistics

fMRI Discovers Freud, Distribution Plushies Lurking In Brain

Regular readers will know my opinion on fMRI research. Nothing but newfangled electronic phrenologic theory-discovering machines. Well, I take it all back. Yes, the new paper "A Triple Dissociation of…
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Posted inStatistics

The 0.3% “Consensus”—Guest Post by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

A major peer-reviewed paper by four senior researchers has exposed grave errors in an earlier paper in a new and unknown journal that had claimed a 97.1% scientific consensus that…
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  1. gareth on A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: FoodMay 20, 2025

    "But the most major cost, finding abodes, ought to fall with the population." No. All of these abodes, vacated by…

  2. Milton Hathaway on A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: FoodMay 20, 2025

    Possibly relevant? It is commonly quoted that "about half of the world’s population is alive today because of synthetic nitrogen…

  3. Uncle Mike on A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: FoodMay 20, 2025

    Pop "control" is the real reason Communists and their bleating herd of lefty libs always blame FARMERS for every ill…

  4. Hun on A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: FoodMay 20, 2025

    Maybe the populations of countries like Germany, Finland, Italy and Spain can't recover anymore, but there is always an endless…

  5. Heresolong on A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: FoodMay 20, 2025

    I read somewhere that the "Ultra Low" is the level below which societies reach a tipping point and don't, or…

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