Posted inStatistics
Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
Posted inStatistics
The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. Schantz
Dr. Hans G. Schantz, Principal Scientist at the Society for Post-Quantum Physics, is currently crowdfunding Fields & Energy Book I: Fundamentals & Origins of Electromagnetism, the first volume in a…
Posted inStatistics
World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!
New Zealand! Where, at the end of the world, men are men, and the sheep are nervous. I don't mean end of the world, you understand, as in the bottom.…
Posted inStatistics
Deniers Refusing To Die From Climate Change Heat Waves
The lurid headline! "Heatwave likely killed 263 people in London, study estimates". The "heatwave" was a small increase in daily temperatures experienced in the UK at the end of this…
Posted inStatistics
Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!
We want Pr(H|Evidence), we get Pr(Data we didn't see | H false). And then everybody pretends they are the same. Why why why. Video https://youtu.be/WIZN3BesJps Links: YouTube * Twitter -…
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Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure
In the Class, which I know all readers are dutifully following, bless you, I often cite Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations site. It is a glorious (growing) compendium of ridiculous results…
Posted inStatistics
The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science
I received thoughtful questions from EB about my views of probability and how they fit with science. This is long, but the questions alone make it worth reading. The end…
Posted inStatistics
On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It
I am not enough of a historian to say whether the Cult of the Victim forms in every dying civilization, but it sure has in ours. A Victim group is…