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Posted inCulture Statistics

What Can We Learn From A Crude Model Of Sexually Transmitted Diseases?

It's Statistical Modeling Day, so let's look at one dealing with sexually transmitted diseases. Why this subject? Well, according to New York's CBS 2, "Study Shows Soaring STD Rates In…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Does The Regression Equation Mean? Causality? Something Else?

Saw this tweet this fine morning: https://twitter.com/MarkThoma/status/276542962622668800 and downloaded the paper at the landing site, co-authored by Judea Pearl, he of Causality fame (a recommended book). Pearl and a co-author…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

We Will Soon All Be Mentally Ill: DSM V & Testing All Children For Mental Disease

"The history of psychiatry is littered with fad diagnoses that in retrospect did far more harm than good," says doctor Allen Frances, the chairman of the DSM-IV Task Force and…
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Posted inStatistics

Machine Learning, Big Data, Deep Learning, Data Mining, Statistics, Decision & Risk Analysis, Probability, Fuzzy Logic FAQ

Last Updated 3 December 2012, 7:24 AM EST. What's the difference between machine learning, deep learning, big data, statistics, decision & risk analysis, probability, fuzzy logic, and all the rest?…
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Posted inStatistics

Legal Insurrection: Wishcasting the 2012 Presidential Election

Today's post is over at Legal Insurrection, a classy site run by Cornell Law guy Bill Jacobson. I have a preliminary analysis of wishcasting the election. Once it's finished, I'll…
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Posted inStatistics

Spanking Kids Causes Cancer. Also, Asthma and Cardiac Disease.

Yes, and cardiac disease and asthma, too. Or so say Michael Hyland, Ahmed Alkhalaf, and Ben Whalley in the Journal of Behavioral Medicine. The press is already hot on this…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Political Neuroscience Shows Obama Voters Are Different Than Romney Voters

Bulimia stereopticon! No, that's not it. Bovine spongeography? Barack standardization? Broadside synchronizable? Rats. I just can't think of a phrase that's on the tip of me tongue. And I so…
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Posted inStatistics

The Final Polls & Predictions: What’s The Difference Between Polls And Models?

There are two ways to forecast the election: polls and models. Polls are easy: go out and ask who will vote for whom, tally the results, and print 'em. As…
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  1. Chaeremon on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    evolution possesses a [divine, what else] intelligence through which instinct and subsequently [evolutionary! what else] rationality ar|wer|e invented.

  2. Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    All, From Owen Chadwick's The Reformation (p. 62): "At the Diet of Speyer in 1529 the minority of princes favourable…

  3. Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    Steve, Protesting Christians is the preferred term. And nowhere do I insist "All Protesting Christian believe X".

  4. Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    "All Protestants believe X. X is absurd. Therefore All Protestants are absurd." The problem is your major premise. All Protestants…

  5. Michael Dowd on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    If you were God you would know that God permits evil for the sake of ultimate good. The devil is…

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