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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Probability Is Not Subjective (It Only Seems Like It Is)

Logic Start with standard logic; think syllogisms. This is not a trick question: Is it true or false that C = "George wears a hat"? There is no way to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Probability & Swinburne’s P-Inductive & C-Inductive Arguments (For God’s Existence)

Because I am jet-lagged (and fundamentally lazy) here is a classic post, modified to include a homework assignment. Don't be like me: do the work. This post contains some fundamental…
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Posted inStatistics

Mr Clarence Beeks, a.k.a. King Pleasure

I'm in the Mood for Love a.k.a. Moody's Mood for Love. Another travel day. I think it was this recording (and not another; "Pleasure" made several) that Danny Stiles used…
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Posted inStatistics

Lightning May Cause Headaches, Moon May Cause Domestic Intranquility

I have discovered a statistically significant correlation between phases of the moon and domestic harmony. Every day for several months I filled out the Domestic Harmony Inventory (DHI), a scientifically…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Updates: What’s Happening With Briggs? With the On-line Course? Etc.?

Homefront Things progress on the Briggs ranch---a patch of 900 square feet in the wilds of Upper Eastern Manhattan. They may shortly be progressing away from the island towards...where, nobody…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Statistics Is Not Math: Update To Allow New Comments

Update Hello newcomers. Posts usually close for comments after two weeks. But since this one is getting so many views, I moved it up to re-open comments. "Here is a…
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Posted inStatistics

Does Barack Obama Have A Mandate? A Look At The Numbers

How important was Barack Obama's victory? By what measure can he be said to have secured a "mandate"? How does his election compares to others? And how do voters in…
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Posted inStatistics

Use And Abuses Of Decision Analysis: Global Warming Example

Suppose we have a simple decision to make1: implement a government-takeover of all energy companies, so as to regulate with thoroughness their carbon budgets, or leave these entities as they…
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  1. Lucy Tucker on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026

    ????

  2. Cary D Cotterman on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026

    I have encountered people who believe the lines of water vapor created by hot jet engines passing through cold air…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026

    Nothing in the "Beliefs Scale" about the Sun and Earth just petering out naturally over billions of years, as is…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026

    Well, at least it isn't cancer!

  5. spetzer86 on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026

    "Oh Lord, bless this thy hand grenade that it might blow thine enemies into tiny bits by thy mercy"

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