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Posted inCulture Statistics

What Can We Learn From A Crude Model Of Sexually Transmitted Diseases?

It's Statistical Modeling Day, so let's look at one dealing with sexually transmitted diseases. Why this subject? Well, according to New York's CBS 2, "Study Shows Soaring STD Rates In…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Does The Regression Equation Mean? Causality? Something Else?

Saw this tweet this fine morning: https://twitter.com/MarkThoma/status/276542962622668800 and downloaded the paper at the landing site, co-authored by Judea Pearl, he of Causality fame (a recommended book). Pearl and a co-author…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

We Will Soon All Be Mentally Ill: DSM V & Testing All Children For Mental Disease

"The history of psychiatry is littered with fad diagnoses that in retrospect did far more harm than good," says doctor Allen Frances, the chairman of the DSM-IV Task Force and…
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Posted inStatistics

Machine Learning, Big Data, Deep Learning, Data Mining, Statistics, Decision & Risk Analysis, Probability, Fuzzy Logic FAQ

Last Updated 3 December 2012, 7:24 AM EST. What's the difference between machine learning, deep learning, big data, statistics, decision & risk analysis, probability, fuzzy logic, and all the rest?…
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Posted inStatistics

Legal Insurrection: Wishcasting the 2012 Presidential Election

Today's post is over at Legal Insurrection, a classy site run by Cornell Law guy Bill Jacobson. I have a preliminary analysis of wishcasting the election. Once it's finished, I'll…
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Posted inStatistics

Spanking Kids Causes Cancer. Also, Asthma and Cardiac Disease.

Yes, and cardiac disease and asthma, too. Or so say Michael Hyland, Ahmed Alkhalaf, and Ben Whalley in the Journal of Behavioral Medicine. The press is already hot on this…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Political Neuroscience Shows Obama Voters Are Different Than Romney Voters

Bulimia stereopticon! No, that's not it. Bovine spongeography? Barack standardization? Broadside synchronizable? Rats. I just can't think of a phrase that's on the tip of me tongue. And I so…
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Posted inStatistics

The Final Polls & Predictions: What’s The Difference Between Polls And Models?

There are two ways to forecast the election: polls and models. Polls are easy: go out and ask who will vote for whom, tally the results, and print 'em. As…
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  1. hudbwu on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    > But that’s because the setup is itself weird. It contains the implicit premise that more beliefs equals better survival,…

  2. John M on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    Well, now I know why lawyers are all screwed up.

  3. Cary D Cotterman on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    I think Mr. Blow hit the nail on the head.

  4. Uncle Mike on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    Statisticians always get blamed for everything. My friend is a statistician, so it's his own stupid fault.

  5. JH on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    (A) Both valid and sound arguments are considered correct. The premise for a valid argument may be false. (See https://iep.utm.edu/val-snd/).…

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