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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Brain Atrophy Responsible For Religious Belief?

Readers can help me choose the best metaphor. (1) A snowball which starts the size of a pea but gains in strength and speed as it rolls downhill, mindlessly consuming…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Wearing A New Hat At JP Research

I am now a member of JP Research. What does this mean to you, my loyal readers? Little, except that my contact information for consulting has changed. New telephone and…
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Posted inStatistics

Don’t Drive On Tax Day! You Might Die

This is it. The day to traipse to the post office and mail in your income tax papers. In farm lingo, this is the time swill the pigs. To feed…
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Posted inStatistics

Obama Doesn’t Have A Chance

I have returned from a week away from the computer. Announcements to follow tomorrow. I am going to tell you of several conversations in which I took part over the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part III

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Parts I, II, III, IV Race, whether or not it can be successfully defined biologically, is clearly important. People, even the non-sincere, at least act…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are The Masters Winners Getting Younger And Better? Predictions Update

Update As of this writing, the 2012 Masters is halfway through, so it's a good time to re-examine the predictions made last April for this year's tournament. Scores have been…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Do Conservatives Distrust Science More Than Liberals?

Science versus Scientism That, anyway, is the latest question making the rounds in the science wars. The simplistic answer, the one de rigueur on campuses and newsrooms, is "Yes." Why,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Humble Tautology And Probability

Start with the premises P1 = "All men are mortal" and P2 = "Socrates is a man" and from them we want to know the status of the conclusion C…
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  1. Briggs on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 9, 2025

    gareth, Excellent point. See this week's class.

  2. gareth on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 9, 2025

    Dear Briggs - you keep quoting "Probability of Data Not Seen GIVEN Hypothesis is False". You know of which you…

  3. Lucy Tucker on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025

    Je ne sais pas.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025

    Ou sont les neiges d'antan?

  5. Lucy Tucker on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025

    “ t I propose it is mostly because we're so short-lived that we cannot comprehend or abide environmental change. "The…

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