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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Risk Analysis And Over Certainty: Classical vs. Bayesian vs. Predictive Statistics

There are two main uses of statistics by civilians, defined as folks who use statistics, who may have even had a class or two in the subject, but who are…
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Posted inStatistics

Lewandowsky’s Confusion About Statistics

Still at conference, so just a short plug for learning about which you speak. Stephan Lewandowsky, who believes JFK shot at the moon landings and that's why the globe has…
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Posted inStatistics

Eating Chocolate Increases Chance Of Nobel Prize, P< 0.05

Yesterday, those noble Nobel fellows, the same committee that honored President Obama---what was it? six, seven days after he assumed office?---, gave this year's Peace Prize to the European Union.…
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Posted inStatistics

The Future of Scientific Publications: Abandon Journals?

It took three years--or was it four?---for a paper I submitted to the august journal Annals of Statistics to wend its way through peer review. When it came back to…
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Posted inStatistics

Debate Thread: “Where Was This Romney Before?” Always There

Chris Matthews looked as though he saw the men with the nets coming for him, the tingles evidently having traveled from his leg and lodging in his frontal cortex. An…
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Posted inStatistics

Scientists: GOP Women More Feminine Than Dems

Science! Unadulterated, peer-reviewed, glorious science! What else but science could have provided this picture, which was taken whole from the University of California press release on the shocking new scientific,…
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Posted inStatistics

1 Billion To Die By 2030: Global Warming’s Deadly Rampage!

You read that number right, friend. One billion---that's billion-with-a-Carl-Sagan-B---fresh corpses will pile the streets by 2030. A billion! During these same years, global warming will be among us, hiding, seeking;…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Anno Aetheris Scriptori XLVIII

What we see in today's title the result of a lack of education. Latin nouns have more declensions than Chicago Aldermen have ways for a dead man to vote. I…
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  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    If a space-alien ever confronts me, and says "Take me to your leader", I will direct him (they?) to you.

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    I just read an article based on "studies" that attempted to panic me about the potential deadliness of down-filled pillows…

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    Threat avoidance seems pretty instinctual. Threat awareness, on the other hand, depends upon the scope of information before us. Sadly,…

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