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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

Dawkins On The Double-Blind Experiment

The Edge every year asks top science celebrities a penetrating, yet fun, always fun, question. Last year's was "What scientific concept would improve everybody's cognitive toolkit?" One of the correspondent…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Statement Of Teaching Philosophy

Regular readers will know that I have been searching for (continuous) employment as a teacher. Most colleges and universities ask applicants to supply "a statement of teaching philosophy", while a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Last year, my number two son1 and I created a model to predict the Oscar winning movie (the original post, and the follow up). We found the following characteristics most…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is Cause? — Guest Post by DAV

Regular readers will recognize DAV as a regular contributer whose humorous voice of reason has kept many conversations on target. Today he presents ideas to spur a discussion of causality,…
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Posted inStatistics

Last Night’s Republican Debate

Off in service today, so only a brief word. Debate results: Romney had an easy base hit to center field, Gingrich doubled but with no men on base, Santorum hit…
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Posted inStatistics

Heartlandgate Versus Climategate

There are some key differences between Climategate 1.0 and 2.0, where emails from scientists and their hangers on were leaked, and Heartlandgate (am I the first to use this appallingly…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    It's even worse; "Handicap" is now a forbidden term.

  2. hudbwu on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    Next time, Twitch livestream writing a computer program to make that bell-shaped graph. I'm sure there's a few people that…

  3. NLR on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    The sports betting companies encourage people to risk money. It's fun, "everybody" is doing it, it's legal, you might be…

  4. Robert Arvanitis on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    Of course the arithmetic is correct. And as with drugs, drinks and sex, gambling is potentially addictive. ON THE other…

  5. John Pate on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 11, 2026

    It occurred to me that what we can see on that graph gives us a different interpretation of cause and…

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