Statistics – Page 251 – William M. Briggs

Bad News For Conservatives? Or Bad News For Rational Thought?

Let's examine Marcus Arvan's peer-reviewed paper, "Bad News for Conservatives? Moral Judgments and the Dark Triad Personality Traits: A Correlational Study", published in the 25 July 2011 issue of Neuroethics.…

Statistics

Global Warming, Asinine Science Roundup

Still in Taipei and a bit swamped. Here are some links that will be of interest; mostly provided by Willie Soon, Marc Morano, and readers just like you! Trenberth's Null…

Statistics

Two New Papers vs. BEST: Guest Post by Lüdecke, Link, and Ewert

Horst Lüdecke is a Professor of Physiker in EIKE, European Institute for Climate and Energy, Heidelberg; Dr. Link is a physicist with EIKE; Prof. Dr. Friedrich-Karl Ewert is a geologist…

Statistics

BEST And The Wall Street Journal’s Numbers Guy

Carl Bialik, the Wall Street Journal's Numbers Guy, has two columns about BEST's temperature reconstruction model: "Global Temperatures: All Over the Map" and "A New Trove of Global Temperature Numbers").…

Statistics

The Twinkie Defense Defended: Soda Pop And Violence In Teens

In 1979, Dan White1 was tried for the assassinations of San Francisco city district Supervisor Harvey Milk and Mayor George Moscone. His lawyers argued that he had diminished capacity and…

Fun Statistics

Counterfactuals And Woodchuck Probability Distributions

I have, with mechanical aid, again winged my way across the globe in search of treasure. I landed disoriented and would not trust myself to calculate even the integral of…

Fun Philosophy Statistics

Best Statistics Question Ever

Several readers have sent this one in1. One Raymond Johnson (or was it Ryan Grover?) said he found the following picture on this blackboard (I pulled my copy from Flowing…

Statistics

BEST’s Worst Work; What Is Significant?

You will have already seen this comparison graph from the Daily Mail. That paper points out correctly that the version of the plot provided by BEST is presented in such…

NLR on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 5, 2025
An idea for a what are the odds post: Jeanne Calment's longevity challenged, partially by statistical modelling.
FRIDAY EARLY-MORNING EDITION - BIG PULPIT on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 5, 2025
[…] Political Analysis, Punditry, and News:What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election? – William M. Briggs,…
Briggs on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Spetzer86, Sure. It won't change much. Better yet, we can investigate the cause of each death, which tells us ALL…
spetzer86 on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Wouldn't the span of time the deaths happened in figure into the final probability? The value used is for a…
John Pate on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Number seven just took the big sleep.