Statistics – Page 255 – William M. Briggs

Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science

Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…

Statistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…

Fun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…

Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Brian (bulaoren) on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 25, 2025
If we see that term; "Antichrist" as adjective rather than noun, the pool of candidates will greatly expand.
hudbwu on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 25, 2025
Eh... one problem. It's not explicitly made here, but I've seen it made over and over everywhere else, so this…
Michael Dowd on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 25, 2025
Yes, the Anti-Christ will come sooner or later. Better to be prepared to meet Christ at our own demise.
shawn marshall on Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 25, 2025
Israel - Waiting for Godot for 2000 years = a stiff necked people Islam - Satanic Verses - also denies…
hudbwu on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 25, 2025
There are so many things that can be read out of these graphs. But I'm a little bit confused what…