The other day, I asked Phil Jones and other climate scientists to rebuke some of their foaming-at-the-mouth colleagues for their inappropriate use of language. While I’m still awaiting a response—it should come […]
In 2003, ex-sailor and then Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, said the following: As we know, there are known knowns. There are things we know we know. We also know there are […]
Paul Krugman, a columnist for the New York Times and winner of a prestigious banking prize (usually mistakenly called a “Nobel”), has said that those who criticize theories of global warming are […]
George Box said, “Remember that all models are wrong; the practical question is how wrong do they have to be to not be useful.” This is usually misremembered as the equivalent, and […]
David Lavers is the lead author in a GRL paper “A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications.” Lavers et al. checked eight different climate models and found that, […]
Lectures are on hold for the next two weeks. I’ll be traveling and unable to to create any new award-winning videos. Nor any new non-award-winning videos.
Read Part I : Download the Quirkâ€™s article. To understand why ordinary regression assumptions are bad, we need to look at some (new data) scenarios. Suppose that Bob had a HGPA of […]
Read Part II : Download the Quirkâ€™s article. Predictive statistics differs from classical (frequentist and Bayesian) practices because it focuses on observables and not metaphysical entities. Observables are the data we can […]