Statistics – Page 255 – William M. Briggs

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III

Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that "increased" means a combination of "linear…

Philosophy Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part II

Part I, II, III, IV, V. Before us are the observations X1 to X156. Recall we are assuming that each of these X has been measured without any error. Given…

Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part I

This series originally began 5 February 2012. Part I, II, III, IV, V. We've gone on and on about how to think about time series, but we are having trouble…

Philosophy Statistics

On Corrections In Science

Somebody attributed to Max Planck, a constant1 source of wisdom, the saying that science advances funeral by funeral. This is a pithy condensation of his more famous quotation: A new…

Culture Fun Statistics

Should Scientists Be Held Legally Responsible for Their Results?

That title is lifted from Popular Science's brief article. The idea is that scientists---as philosopher Christopher Essex reminded me, just like doctors and accountants and businessmen and engineers and everybody…

Statistics

On Global Warming Apoplexy: Temperature Trends

It is a sure sign that Sanity has packed her bags and headed for the door when otherwise sober scientists begin slinging around terms like "denier" and "denialist." Language like…

Fun Statistics

How To Maximize The Chance Of Winning The Office Super Bowl Pool

Forget climatology. It's time for something really controversial. How to fill in those grid squares on the Super Bowl office pool. An example of one is shown below. The full…

Statistics

Bad Astronomer Does Bad Statistics: That Wall Street Journal Editorial

Remember when I said how you shouldn't draw straight lines in time series and then speak of the line as if the line was the data itself? About how the…

Uncle Mike on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 18, 2026
“Belief clings, but faith lets go.” - Alan W. Watts, The Wisdom of Insecurity: A Message for an Age of…
Brian (bulaoren) on Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study SeriouslyFebruary 18, 2026
I'm still wondering if that Tucson AZ. sheriff checked the glove for long covid.
Tars Tarkas on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 18, 2026
People hold more than one kind of belief (more than the two I am mentioning). There are beliefs that are…
NLR on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 18, 2026
"You do not have to believe. You can stay at uncertainty" That is a good point. With regards to the…
Neil Jordan on Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study SeriouslyFebruary 17, 2026
Thank you for the vivid disembowelment of the confidence intervals, which reminds me of my linear estimation statistics class of…