Statistics – Page 257 – William M. Briggs

Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science

Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…

Statistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…

Fun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…

Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Faith on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025
Briggs, you're the best! Merry Christmas!
Johnno on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025
The NSW government’s Terrorism and Other Legislation Amendment Bill 2025 passed the NSW upper house early on Wednesday morning, 24…
John Pate on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025
My current advice to young Britoids is that if conscription hits they should get a "1488" tattoo and post some…
gareth on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025
Sadly all true. And more. And not just Blighty gagging for war - quite a few of the Euros too.…
gareth on Climate ModelsDecember 23, 2025
Dear Briggs: Beware. Your enemies have inserted repetitive and annoying background elevator music into your otherwise excellent explainer video. Maybe…