Statistics – Page 266 – William M. Briggs

Top 10 Sure Things: Which NFL Games Were The Easiest To Pick?

Today's post is over at Edgehogs. I wanted to see how extreme bookies would go in making NFL picks, as judged by the probabilities of home-team wins as derived from…

Fun Statistics

How To Find True Love: The Marriage Problem

MEB + ARK, a.k.a. the Haystack Hunters, wrote the following: As fans of your work in real life probability and breaking the law of averages, we were hoping you could…

Statistics

Hurricane Predictors Admit They Can’t Predict Hurricanes

My heart soared like a hawk1 after learning that Messieurs Philip Klotzbach and William Gray have admitted in print the hardest thing scientists can ever confess. That they were wrong.…

Statistics

CARB Misinterprets Statistics, Calls For Elimination Of Dust

The California Air Resources Board, or CARB, has issued a press release that shows how easy it is to misunderstand statistics. That most do---fail to comprehend what statistical results are…

Fun Statistics

Are Moneylines Useful In Predicting NFL Games?

Today's post is over at Edgehogs. I wanted to know how good moneylines were at predicting wins and loses. Since Las Vegas is still in business, it was a good…

Statistics

Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science

Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…

Statistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…

Fun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…

Brian (bulaoren) on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
So, "Epsilon Minus" murderers would face the executioner? Maybe you really can fix stupid...
Willis Eschenbach on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
Thanks, Matt. I've been saying this (although far from as eloquently) for a while. If a person is so mentally…
Robert Arvanitis on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
The only question is capacity to recognize guilt. If the perpetrator was allowed to vote in national elections, the perpetrator…
Joe Blow on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
I would proffer from a species standpoint, REMOVING exceptionally low IQ individuals from the gene pool should be carried out…
Tim O. on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026
ALL the concern over IQ and competency is the same smoke screen used as "motive" is commonly used: If the…