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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Sloppy Language About What’s True: Part I

"All cats are creatures understanding French," said Alice's father. "And some chickens are cats." "Wait, I know!" said Alice, chirruping. "That means that some chickens are creatures understanding French."1 "What…
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Posted inStatistics

EPA Can Fine You As Long As It Wants—With No Review

EPA Agent Stephen Segal protects the wetlands The EPA came to Idaho and said in a booming voice Stop! to Mike and Chantell Sackett, who were building a home on…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On Probability Leakage

Submitted for your approval, yet another paper. On Probability Leakage, posted at Arxiv. Once you, my beloved readers, have had a go with it, I'll incorporate your comments in an…
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Posted inStatistics

Differences In Brains Between Believers And Atheists?

The following question was posed at the (inaptly named) magazine Scientific American, "Is there a difference between the brain of an atheist and the brain of a religious person?" It…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Curtis’s The Science Of Subjectivity

An unfocused post today; just some notes on a paper. Busy day for me. Andrew Curtis wrote, "The science of subjectivity" in the January 2012 issue of the journal Geology…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update

Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

The Great Bayesian Switch

Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us…
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Posted inStatistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part IV

There is a technical distinction between a scenario and a prediction, though the line is fine and often disputable. Many scenarios are merely intolerably loose, and therefore useless, predictions. The…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-valueSeptember 10, 2026

    How wee is the P for a coincidence? Separately, I will forward the short paper by William Feller, Scientific Research,…

  2. Briggs on Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-valueSeptember 10, 2026

    Neil, Now, I promise this is true, but I also got an oil change this morning. P < ???

  3. Neil Jordan on Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-valueSeptember 10, 2026

    Reply via iPhone while waiting for car oil change - Use for wee P? Yes there is one. Without wee…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Is the West Dying Out? The Demographic Crisis Explained: Jon Harris PodcastSeptember 9, 2026

    Nature abhors a vacuum

  5. The True Nolan on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 9, 2026

    In the distant past when dinosaurs roamed the earth and volcanoes belched hourly, we kids (being on summer vacation from…

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