Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part IV
Part I, II, III, IV, V. We have before us X1 to X156. We started by assuming that something, called T, caused these data to take the values it did.…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III
Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that "increased" means a combination of "linear…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part II
Part I, II, III, IV, V. Before us are the observations X1 to X156. Recall we are assuming that each of these X has been measured without any error. Given…
Posted inStatistics
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part I
This series originally began 5 February 2012. Part I, II, III, IV, V. We've gone on and on about how to think about time series, but we are having trouble…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On Corrections In Science
Somebody attributed to Max Planck, a constant1 source of wisdom, the saying that science advances funeral by funeral. This is a pithy condensation of his more famous quotation: A new…
Posted inCulture Fun Statistics
Should Scientists Be Held Legally Responsible for Their Results?
That title is lifted from Popular Science's brief article. The idea is that scientists---as philosopher Christopher Essex reminded me, just like doctors and accountants and businessmen and engineers and everybody…
Posted inStatistics
On Global Warming Apoplexy: Temperature Trends
It is a sure sign that Sanity has packed her bags and headed for the door when otherwise sober scientists begin slinging around terms like "denier" and "denialist." Language like…
Posted inFun Statistics
How To Maximize The Chance Of Winning The Office Super Bowl Pool
Forget climatology. It's time for something really controversial. How to fill in those grid squares on the Super Bowl office pool. An example of one is shown below. The full…