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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Contingency, Causality, Determinism, And Free Will

In thinking about what probability means, it's important to sort out what is contingent and what relationship contingent events have to causality. Contingency simply means that what is could have…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bad News For Conservatives? Or Bad News For Rational Thought?

Let's examine Marcus Arvan's peer-reviewed paper, "Bad News for Conservatives? Moral Judgments and the Dark Triad Personality Traits: A Correlational Study", published in the 25 July 2011 issue of Neuroethics.…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Warming, Asinine Science Roundup

Still in Taipei and a bit swamped. Here are some links that will be of interest; mostly provided by Willie Soon, Marc Morano, and readers just like you! Trenberth's Null…
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Posted inStatistics

Two New Papers vs. BEST: Guest Post by Lüdecke, Link, and Ewert

Horst Lüdecke is a Professor of Physiker in EIKE, European Institute for Climate and Energy, Heidelberg; Dr. Link is a physicist with EIKE; Prof. Dr. Friedrich-Karl Ewert is a geologist…
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Posted inStatistics

BEST And The Wall Street Journal’s Numbers Guy

Carl Bialik, the Wall Street Journal's Numbers Guy, has two columns about BEST's temperature reconstruction model: "Global Temperatures: All Over the Map" and "A New Trove of Global Temperature Numbers").…
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Posted inStatistics

The Twinkie Defense Defended: Soda Pop And Violence In Teens

In 1979, Dan White1 was tried for the assassinations of San Francisco city district Supervisor Harvey Milk and Mayor George Moscone. His lawyers argued that he had diminished capacity and…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Counterfactuals And Woodchuck Probability Distributions

I have, with mechanical aid, again winged my way across the globe in search of treasure. I landed disoriented and would not trust myself to calculate even the integral of…
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Posted inFun Philosophy Statistics

Best Statistics Question Ever

Several readers have sent this one in1. One Raymond Johnson (or was it Ryan Grover?) said he found the following picture on this blackboard (I pulled my copy from Flowing…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto WattJuly 6, 2026

    Sorry folks, my 1st comment today seems to have been lost in the ether. The Howard Johnson's reference makes no…

  2. Steve on The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto WattJuly 6, 2026

    I wondered the same thing, Cloudbuster. What I understand of the case is even worse -- John Marshall himself was…

  3. Brian ( bulaoren) on The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto WattJuly 6, 2026

    Yeah, I know; Howard Johnson's is defunct, like our constitution (?).

  4. Ray on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJuly 6, 2026

    This book looks like a wonderful example of the old saying, if you can't dazzle them with your brilliance, baffle…

  5. Cloudbuster on The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto WattJuly 6, 2026

    I can't find any evidence that William Marshall had any involvement at all in Marbury v. Madison. What is your…

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