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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Statistics

Wishcasting The End Of The World: Update

Wishcasting is when a forecast or prediction is shaded in the direction the forecaster or predictor wants the event to happen. For example, if you forecast this weekend's weather, you…
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Posted inStatistics

Can Telomeres Predict How Long You Will Live?

No, they can't. Not exactly, and perhaps not with sufficient precision to be useful to you. But there is a new company called Life Length who will sell you, for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Belief In God “Rooted” In Human Nature Say Academics

New research has shown---and by "research" I mean a fact long known to citizens is revealed to academics who attach a p-value to it and publish it---"that suggests that religion…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Food Deserts: Millions Of Californians Starving Themselves Into Obesity

The blubber is flowing in California. So says that State's venerable University, Los Angeles division. It's an epidemic! Both excessive fatness "increased significantly in just six years". This isn't the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

“I Can See The Future!”

The future begins tomorrow. This being so, it doesn't seem especially difficult to say what will happen in that uncertain land. Weathermen, and their noble sisters the weatherwomen, daily dispatch…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Do Americans Still Dislike Atheists?

The answer is: Americans hate atheists just as much as they hate theists. Residents of these grand United States had always disliked prigs of any stripe and are not shy…
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Posted inStatistics

The Non-Candidacy Of Donald Trump

2020 Update Thanks for DAV for reminding me of this. This post below shows how far you can go wrong, how idiotic you can be, when you, like I, follow…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Government outlays: The Canadian Experience — Guest Post by David Ipperciel

In the post "Taxing the Rich Always Fails Eventually," Briggs states that, "It is rational to believe that these years [of decreasing deficits] will continue to be infrequent." I believe…
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  1. Hagfish Bagpipe on Happy New Year!January 2, 2026

    Perusing your list of popular linked articles, I am once again impressed at the quantity and quality of your output.…

  2. Hagfish Bagpipe on Happy New Year!January 2, 2026

    Briggs: "... then I pray to your confusion and conversion, and hope that your hangover teaches you a lesson." Ha-ha!…

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    Happy New Year!

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    Happy New Year

  5. John Pate on Happy New Year!January 1, 2026

    I give a premature prediction that 2026 will be a bumpy ride and make it difficult to find happiness.

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