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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Obama’s Faulty Pay Gap Statistics, Philosophy Of Abortion; Plus, The End Of The World

Deadline: 21 May 2011 Family Radio Worldwide has hit the road (in a bunch of mobile homes) to preach that the end shall come just over two months from now.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Group Differences: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Read the first entry in this series. All of what follows will appear ridiculously obvious to those who have had no statistical training. Those who have must struggle. In a…
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Posted inStatistics

Iowahawk Does Statistics—-Properly!

Thanks to the many readers who sent in this tip. The Iowahawk, a.k.a. David Burge, the beloved assassin of pomposity and pretension has taken the often hysterical Paul "Global Warming…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t

Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

TSA Expands Jurisdiction To Sidewalks: Where Is The Left?

"Sir? Please step over here. You need to be x-rayed." "What? Get outta my way. Who are you?" said the man. "Sir, please step over to the machine. You have…
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Posted inStatistics

Stock Tomato Seeds! Global Warming Is Coming!

It must be a joke. The punchline is surely coming. Ha, ha! Hoarding tomato seeds! Bars on his basement windows! Hilarious! This guy really nails nuttiness. He'll shame a few…
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Posted inFun Statistics

And The Winner Goes To…Oscar Statistics Wrap Up

Our model was right: The King's Speech won. In this weekend's Oscar Statistics post, we modeled the chances of each nominated movie. We guessed that the movie most likely to…
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  1. JH on Why Study Probability?November 14, 2025

     Then some decision rule that says “This much departure from uniformity means loading.” Which rule may be different for you…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, but you haven't answered my question, either then or now. The last time I asked, I got this…

  3. Uncle Mike on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Or, Willis, you could take the course, study the classes, do the homework. Then, quite possibly, or even probably, you…

  4. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Willis, I have answered the question each and every time. Go back and look at when you asked, and you'll…

  5. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    This is my third time asking, and I'm beginning to think you're avoiding me. I have a single die. I…

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