Statistics – Page 272 – William M. Briggs

Super Bowl Indicator Busted: A Sports/Markets Indicator for the Next Century—Guest Post by Doug Magowan

Doug Magowan spends his days poring over financial numbers. Today he offers us, tongue firmly in cheek, a new way to get rich quick. All you have to do is…

Statistics

Planet Earth Al Gore Explains ‘Snowmageddon’: Fox News Story

I was quoted by Gene Koprowski in his Fox News story "Planet Earth Al Gore Explains 'Snowmageddon'". (This accounted for the several hundred Google and other search engine redirects to…

Statistics

Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…

Culture Statistics

Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. "It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations---that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority…

Statistics

The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. "I see the letter G." The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. "There's...wait…

Philosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…

Philosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…

Philosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if "All green men are irascible, and…

Mike Borgelt on UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!October 28, 2025
Very roughly 250 knots indicated airspeed is about 1.5 psi pitot pressure. This is about the indicated airspeed of an…
spetzer86 on Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970sOctober 28, 2025
In college during the 70's, it would get cold enough to freeze the Iowa river that passed through the UofI…
Cary Cotterman on UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!October 28, 2025
A couple of things I wonder about: What would happen if the object had hit, say, the center of the…
Richard Brimage on UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!October 28, 2025
It appears to have been a sand filled ballast bag hanging from a weather balloon.
Phil R on Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970sOctober 28, 2025
A family vacation goes awry in a faraway village after the innocents realize the village was run by a cult…