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Posted inFun Statistics

Super Bowl Indicator Busted: A Sports/Markets Indicator for the Next Century—Guest Post by Doug Magowan

Doug Magowan spends his days poring over financial numbers. Today he offers us, tongue firmly in cheek, a new way to get rich quick. All you have to do is…
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Posted inStatistics

Planet Earth Al Gore Explains ‘Snowmageddon’: Fox News Story

I was quoted by Gene Koprowski in his Fox News story "Planet Earth Al Gore Explains 'Snowmageddon'". (This accounted for the several hundred Google and other search engine redirects to…
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Posted inStatistics

Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. "It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations---that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority…
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Posted inStatistics

The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. "I see the letter G." The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. "There's...wait…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if "All green men are irascible, and…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 25, 2025

    If we see that term; "Antichrist" as adjective rather than noun, the pool of candidates will greatly expand.

  2. hudbwu on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 25, 2025

    Eh... one problem. It's not explicitly made here, but I've seen it made over and over everywhere else, so this…

  3. Michael Dowd on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 25, 2025

    Yes, the Anti-Christ will come sooner or later. Better to be prepared to meet Christ at our own demise.

  4. shawn marshall on Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 25, 2025

    Israel - Waiting for Godot for 2000 years = a stiff necked people Islam - Satanic Verses - also denies…

  5. hudbwu on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 25, 2025

    There are so many things that can be read out of these graphs. But I'm a little bit confused what…

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