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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t

Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

TSA Expands Jurisdiction To Sidewalks: Where Is The Left?

"Sir? Please step over here. You need to be x-rayed." "What? Get outta my way. Who are you?" said the man. "Sir, please step over to the machine. You have…
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Posted inStatistics

Stock Tomato Seeds! Global Warming Is Coming!

It must be a joke. The punchline is surely coming. Ha, ha! Hoarding tomato seeds! Bars on his basement windows! Hilarious! This guy really nails nuttiness. He'll shame a few…
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Posted inFun Statistics

And The Winner Goes To…Oscar Statistics Wrap Up

Our model was right: The King's Speech won. In this weekend's Oscar Statistics post, we modeled the chances of each nominated movie. We guessed that the movie most likely to…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Oscar Statistics: Money, Men, and Maturity; Plus Our Predictions

This article was written with the assistance of the very employable John Briggs, who did all the grunt work. Also see And The Winner Goes To...Oscar Statistics Wrap Up. Which…
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Posted inStatistics

Prettier Politicians Preferred At Polls

"It is well established that being beautiful confers many advantages on a person." This is the opening sentence of a break-through paper by two Swedes and a Finn. From that…
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Posted inStatistics

Planet Could Be ‘Unrecognizable’ By 2050: Doom Just Around The Corner

If you are in your 40s now, as yours truly is (am?), then by 2050 you and the rest of our cohort will be dead or in our 80s. If…
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  1. gareth on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    Sadly all true. And more. And not just Blighty gagging for war - quite a few of the Euros too.…

  2. gareth on Climate ModelsDecember 23, 2025

    Dear Briggs: Beware. Your enemies have inserted repetitive and annoying background elevator music into your otherwise excellent explainer video. Maybe…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    If it ever comes down to conscription, the young men of Britain need to collectively say "NO!" They can't arrest…

  4. LabRat on No Class: But Here’s Some HomeworkDecember 22, 2025

    Regarding the third abstract - are they trying to turn the old insult about fart sniffing into a positive of…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Climate ModelsDecember 22, 2025

    As of today; Dec 22, days will be getting longer. Does that count (as climate change)?

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