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Posted inStatistics

Iowahawk Does Statistics—-Properly!

Thanks to the many readers who sent in this tip. The Iowahawk, a.k.a. David Burge, the beloved assassin of pomposity and pretension has taken the often hysterical Paul "Global Warming…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t

Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

TSA Expands Jurisdiction To Sidewalks: Where Is The Left?

"Sir? Please step over here. You need to be x-rayed." "What? Get outta my way. Who are you?" said the man. "Sir, please step over to the machine. You have…
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Posted inStatistics

Stock Tomato Seeds! Global Warming Is Coming!

It must be a joke. The punchline is surely coming. Ha, ha! Hoarding tomato seeds! Bars on his basement windows! Hilarious! This guy really nails nuttiness. He'll shame a few…
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Posted inFun Statistics

And The Winner Goes To…Oscar Statistics Wrap Up

Our model was right: The King's Speech won. In this weekend's Oscar Statistics post, we modeled the chances of each nominated movie. We guessed that the movie most likely to…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Oscar Statistics: Money, Men, and Maturity; Plus Our Predictions

This article was written with the assistance of the very employable John Briggs, who did all the grunt work. Also see And The Winner Goes To...Oscar Statistics Wrap Up. Which…
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Posted inStatistics

Prettier Politicians Preferred At Polls

"It is well established that being beautiful confers many advantages on a person." This is the opening sentence of a break-through paper by two Swedes and a Finn. From that…
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  1. McChuck on Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender DelusionsFebruary 10, 2026

    Everybody remembers the Nazi book burning. The Left won't shut up about it. Almost nobody talks about what books were…

  2. NLR on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026

    The main reason people believe in AGI is because they want to. People want a superintelligent machine that will solve…

  3. Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions – William M. Briggs on Is Laverne Cox Still A Man? Or, The Coming Transgender WarsFebruary 10, 2026

    […] and infiltrating the public in earnest about a dozen or so years ago. (In 2014 I wrote, “Is Laverne…

  4. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026

    C-Marie, I knew you could.

  5. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026

    Andrew, No, they're just bad model predictions. See the "hallucination" article I referenced.

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