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Posted inStatistics

James Cameron Ducks Global Warming Debate That Never Should Have Been Agreed To

Movie maker James Cameron has called people who don't believe as strongly as he does that the end is nigh "boneheads", which, as insults go, isn't particularly inventive. You would…
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Posted inStatistics

The Imperfectibility of Politics: Voting And Unhappiness

You're stuck in a motel because of a business meeting. It's 6 o' the clock post meridian, and you're hungry. The town in which you must linger is small and…
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Posted inStatistics

Chinese War Poker: Bluffs Or Solid Threats?

The United States Navy is going to steam into the Yellow Sea and blow up some Korean warships. But friendly, like, and for fun. Points will be scored, and trophies…
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Posted inStatistics

The McShane and Wyner Gordie Howe Treatment Of Mann

Many---as in lots and lots---of folks wrote in and asked me to review the McShane and Wyner paper. Thanks! Gordie Howe---Mr Hockey to you---didn't need his stick, his hockey stick,…
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Posted inStatistics

Newcomb’s Paradox And Probability

This article was suggested by reader JH who saw it discussed at Massimo Pigliucci's site. When he was at the Lawrence Livermore Laboratory, William Newcomb devised the following puzzle, which…
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Posted inStatistics

The Gold Standard Of Experimentation Exposed As Pyrite

Everybody says the "gold standard" of experimentation, and especially clinical trials, is the randomized controlled trial. A typical view is that "A Randomized Controlled Trial is an experiment or study…
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Posted inStatistics

Epidemiology, Causality, And P-Values: Part II

Be sure to read yesterday's post first. One of the screwy consequences of classical statistics is that my odd sample (mixing babies and the patients from the brain cancer ward)…
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Posted inStatistics

Epidemiology, Causality, And P-Values: Part I

A standard epidemiological study goes like this: people who have been "exposed" to some thing, say, cell phone radiation, are examined to discover whether or not they have some malady.…
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