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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

The Gold Standard Of Experimentation Exposed As Pyrite

Everybody says the "gold standard" of experimentation, and especially clinical trials, is the randomized controlled trial. A typical view is that "A Randomized Controlled Trial is an experiment or study…
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Posted inStatistics

Epidemiology, Causality, And P-Values: Part II

Be sure to read yesterday's post first. One of the screwy consequences of classical statistics is that my odd sample (mixing babies and the patients from the brain cancer ward)…
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Posted inStatistics

Epidemiology, Causality, And P-Values: Part I

A standard epidemiological study goes like this: people who have been "exposed" to some thing, say, cell phone radiation, are examined to discover whether or not they have some malady.…
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Posted inStatistics

Manzi: What Social Science Does—and Doesn’t—Know

This article is nothing but an extended link to a must-read piece in City Journal. Internet still once daily. Thanks to reader I. for suggesting this topic. If you haven't…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Everybody Has A Mental Disease: Diagnostic and Statistical Manual 5

I am so far Up North that I heard a radio interview with Uncle Ted Nugnet on the best kinds of arrowheads to bring down feral pigs. Internet still only…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Correlation and Causality: Have A Drink, Get Rich

I am down to one brief internet connection daily, found, intermittently, at a coffee shop in town. I apologize for lack of or slowness in answering questions. According to the…
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Posted inStatistics

Three Cards: One Black, One Red, One Half & Half

Just a short one today, all. I'm heading further North. So far from civilization that when I was a boy, it was a cause to celebrate when a cit thirty…
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Posted inStatistics

New Tax To Force Citizens To Pay For Water: Prediction

Away back in March, I predicted that if Obamacare passed, we citizens would eventually foot the bill for homeopathic treatments. This evidence for this forecast was inductive, in two parts.…
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  1. spetzer86 on A New Kind Of University: Your Comments WantedAugust 25, 2026

    Sadly, you'd never get through the traditional academic review boards and the required certifications forcing compliance with mainstream thought. You…

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    As someone who is currently almost 65 years old, and has never attended college, I'm in! It has been obvious…

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    It's not a terrible idea. It could work, given sufficient determination and willpower over decades and generations.

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    Enough time has passed, since this post went up, for me to feel no need to stick to the topic.…

  5. David on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    I would also like to point out that slaves often had *better* medical care than their working-class white counterparts, being…

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