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In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)
Posted inStatistics

In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)

Richard Feynman wasn't the first to suggest negative probabilities. That recognition goes to Paul Dirac, who introduced them and negative energies at the same time---because he thought these things explained…
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Class 31: How Views Diverge With New Evidence
Posted inStatistics

Class 31: How Views Diverge With New Evidence

Is Trump a Russian Asset? (This question accounts for the change in banner image this week.) What happens to belief when people learn new evidence about this curious proposition? Theory…
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Ridley Claims Materialists, Atheists, & Secular Humanists Don’t Preach
Posted inStatistics

Ridley Claims Materialists, Atheists, & Secular Humanists Don’t Preach

Keeping with our Friday Frolic them, this classic post ran originally on 24 November 2015, and it was brought to mind because I have a book review coming out soon…
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What Health Insurance Should Be, But Isn’t
Posted inStatistics

What Health Insurance Should Be, But Isn’t

Now that a Health Insurance guy has been whacked, it's time to review. Here is an expanded version of a thread I did on Twitter---which is all a repeat of…
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England Voted To Have Doctors Kill Their Patients
Posted inStatistics

England Voted To Have Doctors Kill Their Patients

The MPs in the UK passed a bill that will allow doctors to kill their patients. Maybe this is their solution to the rampant immoral immigration they can't make themselves…
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Emergence Is Substance; Entanglement Is Substance: Science Is Healing
Posted inStatistics

Emergence Is Substance; Entanglement Is Substance: Science Is Healing

There is an idea taking shape, vague but gaining strength, that good things are coming to Science. Science, I say, not academia. Only a cleansing fire will save academia. One…
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The Advent Of Lousy Music
Posted inStatistics

The Advent Of Lousy Music

In anticipation that many will be out, or in but out, today, no Class. Instead a topical post which ran originally on 6 December 2017. It will keep on running…
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Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

When Thomas Kuhn released his famous book The Structure of Scientific Revolutions in 1962, it riled a lot of people. Mostly those who were wedded to the old way of…
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  1. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  2. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  3. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I think that pessimism morphs into cynicism when we perceive personal gain in our bleak expectations.

  5. Nate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    The best explanation I saw on twitter was this rephrasing: "There is a blender. Jumping into the blender will kill…

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