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“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”
Posted inStatistics

“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”

"Hey, Briggs. I saw your take on the leaked New Zealand vaccine data. Interesting. But why didn't you use [Insert My Favorite Statistics Model Here]?" [Blog, Substack mirror.] I'll tell…
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New Zealand Vaccine Data: Possible Injuries & Misleading Signals
Posted inStatistics

New Zealand Vaccine Data: Possible Injuries & Misleading Signals

Thanks to everybody from yesterday. I saw nothing that made me change my mind, so I'm publishing my analysis as is. There is this new caveat about the data a…
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Quick Post Today: New Zealand Vax Data Analysis In Progress: Your Ideas?
Posted inStatistics

Quick Post Today: New Zealand Vax Data Analysis In Progress: Your Ideas?

I've finished an analysis of the New Zealand vax data. But since tempers are hot on this, and the subject is important, I want to be sure I haven't missed…
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Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy

There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…
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Can You Get A Singularity When AI = Automated Instructions?
Posted inStatistics

Can You Get A Singularity When AI = Automated Instructions?

So they fired and rehired or whatever the guy from OpenAI for obscure reasons. OpenAI did ChatGPT, the text simulator which will tell nasty jokes about white men but which…
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The Statistics Of Stopping Power
Posted inStatistics

The Statistics Of Stopping Power

It is a slow week, and a week of Thanks, so let's spend our time with some fun things. Like a fascinating study by Greg Ellifritz on "An Alternate Look…
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Refereeing Models Which Ask Us To “Follow The Science!”
Posted inStatistics

Refereeing Models Which Ask Us To “Follow The Science!”

I'm stealing this from Spectator, which has done science right. It shows the UK's SAGE Expert models for covid. In each case, the gray and others colors are the model…
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The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis
Posted inStatistics

The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis

The first part of this article also appears at the Broken Science Initiative. Go there to read it, too, and many other good ones by other authors. We already saw…
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  1. Johnno on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    The NSW government’s Terrorism and Other Legislation Amendment Bill 2025 passed the NSW upper house early on Wednesday morning, 24…

  2. John Pate on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    My current advice to young Britoids is that if conscription hits they should get a "1488" tattoo and post some…

  3. gareth on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    Sadly all true. And more. And not just Blighty gagging for war - quite a few of the Euros too.…

  4. gareth on Climate ModelsDecember 23, 2025

    Dear Briggs: Beware. Your enemies have inserted repetitive and annoying background elevator music into your otherwise excellent explainer video. Maybe…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 23, 2025

    If it ever comes down to conscription, the young men of Britain need to collectively say "NO!" They can't arrest…

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