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Best Defense When The Not-So-Secret Police Use AI To Claim You Are The Anonymous Tweeter
Posted inStatistics

Best Defense When The Not-So-Secret Police Use AI To Claim You Are The Anonymous Tweeter

I want you to memorize something important. Never forget it. Ready? Artificial "intelligence", or AI, is just statistical modeling. (Regular readers already knew this.) Here's something else to know. Some…
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CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned:  Kids & The Coronadoom Vex
Posted inCulture Statistics

CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned: Kids & The Coronadoom Vex

Update Well, they voted the wrong way. I'm also a bit surprised there doesn't seem much interest in this news. How quickly we surrender? Rochelle Walensky, the head of CDC,…
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Moving Away From The Mysticism Of “Random” Numbers
Posted inStatistics

Moving Away From The Mysticism Of “Random” Numbers

ET Jaynes in his must-have Probability Theory: The Logic of Science said, "It appears to be a quite general principle that, whenever there is a randomized way of doing something,…
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All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings

Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper "Observing Many Researchers Using the Same…
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The Disparagement Of Epidemiology
Posted inStatistics

The Disparagement Of Epidemiology

I was having an argument with a friend who was on his way to a conference to point out the shortcomings and over-confidence of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM). With EBM,…
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The Five Main Reasons Science Is Broken
Posted inStatistics

The Five Main Reasons Science Is Broken

The five main reasons Science is broken are: 1. Woke & DIE 2. The Expansion Team Effect & Money 3. The Expertocracy 4. Scientism & Scidolatry 5. Bad Philosophy A…
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The Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis” Explained — Jaap Hanekamp Interview
Posted inStatistics

The Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis” Explained — Jaap Hanekamp Interview

Jaap Hanekamp and I discuss the Dutch nitrogen "crisis." Farmers in the Netherlands are unhappy with government wanting to shut them down or reduce their operations, because of a supposed…
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Why “The Science” Settled On “Carbon”
Posted inStatistics

Why “The Science” Settled On “Carbon”

The answer to the question Why "The Science" Settled On "Carbon" is easy. The Science settled on "carbon" because it's easy. See? Easy is the answer, as promised. Now that…
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  1. bruce g charlton on Academics Call Pregnancy A DiseaseMay 12, 2025

    Biologically speaking, the most objective definition of a disease that I know is on the lines of: "Something that reduces…

  2. Robert Arvanitis on Academics Call Pregnancy A DiseaseMay 12, 2025

    In the most charitable interpretation, perhaps the authors meant to protect medical benefits and employment protection to "birthing persons..." If…

  3. E C on Reproducibility Crises Will Be Forever With Us Until We Abandon Classical StatisticsMay 10, 2025

    If I understand your linked article in Academic Questions correctly, it seems frequentism is a classic example of tunnel-vision; or,…

  4. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  5. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

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