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William M. Briggs

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If You Had To Choose “Ignore Or Believe All Academics On Climate Change”, Which Is Smarter?
Posted inStatistics

If You Had To Choose “Ignore Or Believe All Academics On Climate Change”, Which Is Smarter?

Update See the Twitter thread (and account) for many more examples. NOBODY has been able to find a word yet that Experts haven't tied to "climate change." Got an email…
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The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate
Posted inStatistics

The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate

Some things, the saying goes, are too good to check. Take the peer-reviewed paper "Environmental knowledge is inversely associated with climate change anxiety" by Hannes Zacher and Cort W. Rudolph…
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There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…
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How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another
Posted inStatistics

How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another

A model---which I do not distinguish between a theory---can be useful to one man and useless to the next. "But Briggs, people don't treat theories the same as models." Right:…
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Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online
Posted inStatistics

Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online

Video Here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLFDjRS_928 And here is Greg's talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6VMcIp21mA Transcript I followed this closely during the speech, but did not adhere to it perfectly. I don't have a…
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Nothing Has A Probability: Roulette Wheel Pays Off
Posted inStatistics

Nothing Has A Probability: Roulette Wheel Pays Off

There are two essential, crucial things to take from the article "The Gambler Who Beat Roulette", and I beg that you will remember both: 1. You are meant to lose…
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Is AI Really Able To Probe Your Brain & See The Image You’re Thinking Of?
Posted inStatistics

Is AI Really Able To Probe Your Brain & See The Image You’re Thinking Of?

There's a rumor going around that computers can now read your thoughts. That "AI" can pick off images you're thinking about. Here's one of many similar breathless headlines: "The AI…
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The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved

Let's end the review of Sabine Hossenfelder's book. We did some already: Emergence, Entropy, and Many Worlds. With this post, we'll have covered the most interesting topics. Old Hoss, and…
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  1. Chad W Jessup on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    Sadly, Briggs is spot on overall, but the women he refers to do not represent the tough farm/ranch gals.

  2. shawn marshall on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    c-marie = are you quoting something?

  3. C-Marie on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    Perhaps think on this: God is extremely angry with the killings and mass murders of the unborn and just born…

  4. Carlos Julio Casanova Guerra on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    William: I tried to find a way contact you other than the comments section, but didn't find one: sorry if…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    My wife is the only sane, rational, conservative woman I know. Her sisters and nieces and their female friends are…

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