Posted inFun
Highs And Lows Of Summer Skirts: Guest Post by the Blonde Bombshell
One thing that is admirable about the well-attired man is that if he were to time travel, he would be at home in nearly any era. He may have to…
Posted inStatistics
An Ensemble Of Models Is Completely Meaningful, Statistically: Update 2
The Answer to Senn will continue on Monday. Look for my Finger Lakes winery tour tasting notes Sunday! Several readers asked me to comment on an ensemble climate forecasting post…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
All Probability Is Conditional: An Answer To Senn; Part IV
Read Part III. Still with me? Hope so, because we're only on the second page of Senn's article (but don't fret; we'll be skipping most of it). Review: in logical-probability…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Probability Isn’t “Fair”: An Answer To Senn; Part III
A quick reminder that we're trying to unpack the meaning of the "is fair" in the proposition "This die is fair," and trying to deduce the probability this proposition is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
There Is Only One Kind Of Probability: An Answer To Senn; Part II
Read Part I. Some of this material is explained in detail in this series. Just after the introduction, Senn starts his argument by claiming an "important distinction between two types…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Bayes Is More Than Probably Right: An Answer To Senn; Part I
Stephen Senn very kindly answered a post I wrote on p-values (Unsignificant Statistics: Or Die P-Value, Die Die Die) by sending me his "You May Believe You Are a Bayesian…
Posted inStatistics
Cornell Teaching Sojourn: Probability, Stats, & R
Time for the annual migration to Ithaca via a well accoutered golden coach (complete with undergraduates feeding professors grapes grown at Cornell's orchards). There I will linger for two weeks,…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Tobacco Ads Could Lead To Cancer Cure
Today's headline is true. True means that which is certain, without the possibility of error; that which is not false; that which accords with reality. It means that which is…