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Posted inStatistics

It Makes No Sense To Say You’re More Likely To Die Of Bee Sting Than Shark Bite

The National Journal says: "The odds of being killed by a shark are about 1 in 3.7 million. The odds of being killed by a sting from a bee, wasp,…
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Posted inStatistics

Decline Of Participation In Religious Rituals With Improved Sanitation

Answer me this. Earl at the end of the bar, on his sixth or seventh, tells listeners just what's wrong with America's science policy. His words receive knowing nods from…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Explanation Vs Prediction

Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Philosophic Issues in Cosmology V: What Measurements Tell Us—Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Has No Passive Potentiality

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We started…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Gibbon (And O’Brian) On Too Many Lawyers

This is Gibbon, quoted in Patrick O'Brian's The Reverse of the Medal by the character Dr Stephen Maturin, who then speaks: '"It is dangerous to entrust the conduct of nations…
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Posted inStatistics

Missing Global Warming Close To A Solution?

I can't tell you where I obtained a photocopy of the note below. I can tell you that I am in Washington DC (at the lovely and recommended Morrison Clark…
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  1. C-Marie on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    God is, and He has revealed Himself to us. We can believe Him or not believe Him by exercising our…

  2. Briggs on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    Now Anonymous, you can't think this is an original objection, not after 2,000 years. Aristotle's, and later others, show why…

  3. Anonymous on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    This is like a 14 square puzzle where you keep moving the logical inconsistency around, but never eliminating it. Both…

  4. Htos1av on Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; StationarityMarch 1, 2026

    great

  5. Tracy Platt on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 26, 2026

    What I miss even more than the ticket is a day skiing at Brighton for $1.10. Carumba! O.K, i dont…

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