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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2014 Predictions?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Time to tally. As has become our tradition, each New Year's Eve we see…
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Posted inCulture

Pope Francis And Out-Of-Control Deadly Eschatological Global Warming

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. The press, fond as they are of reporting wild speculation as actual news, has…
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Posted inStatistics

Monty Hall And This Video Prove Probability Is Measure Of Truth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5-I0bAuEUE This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. This post is really an excuse to highlight a cute video that's being…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: That God Is Good

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. This post is one…
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Posted inFun

Manly Things, Northern Michigan Edition

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. My number one son sent me the video above (linked here). Can you imagine…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: IV

Since our walk through Summa Contra Gentiles is going so well, why not let's do the same with Pascal's sketchbook on what we can now call Thinking Thursdays. We'll use…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Improper Language About Priors

Suppose you decided (almost surely by some ad hoc rule) that the uncertainty in some thing (call it y) is best quantified by a normal distribution with central parameter θ…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I Also Declare The Bayesian vs. Frequentist Debate Over For Data Scientists

I stole the title, adding the word "also", from an article by Rafael Irizarry at Simply Stats (tweeted by Diego Kuonen). First, brush clearing. Data scientists. Sounds like galloping bureaucratic…
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  1. McChuck on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 18, 2026

    The number of new climate change papers is proportional to USAID funding and inversely proportional to the number of new…

  2. Cary Cotterman on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    I'm not worried about "climate change" or "covid". I'm worried about what BS the money-hungry and power-hungry, and the useful…

  3. Tars Tarkas on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    "The graph is not normalized by number of scientists. In 1960, there were far fewer scientists than there are now.…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    This is probably wishful thinking but...might it be the academic climate that has changed?.....nah

  5. _Jim on You Can’t Con An Honest Man & The Case of Jason ArdayAugust 14, 2026

    And, just like that, he (apparently) self-exterminates. Found unresponsive and declared deceased where they found him today, Friday the 14th…

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