2015 – Page 18 – William M. Briggs

The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill. New Paper

New paper up at Arxiv, which is a sort of précis to some key chapters in my book most relevant to probability and statistical modeling. Abstract: There is a third…

Culture Fun

Contest! Dumbest & Most Frustrating Modern Invention

Contest! Win a Coffee Cup to the Stars! What is the Dumbest & Most Frustrating Modern Invention? What is the work of man that has given the most annoyance or…

Statistics

Video: The Crisis Of Evidence, Or, Why Probability & Statistics Cannot Discover Cause

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbf_TXqEY-Y Thanks to Jeremy Snavely at DDP for putting up the talks. Here's a direct link. Here's the paper. Q & A starts around 52:30 minutes. Since some readers were…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Can Read Your Mind

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. ESP on…

Book review Philosophy

The Only Metric That Matters

I've been reading reviews of the the peevish Jerry Coyne's new book Faith Versus Fact (I don't have any money to give him to buy an actual copy). Recommended is…

Culture Philosophy

Legalized Suicide Leads To Government Deciding Who Lives, Who Dies. Update: Predictions Verified

If the government believes it has the power to grant you the right to die, then it will eventually believe it has the power to decide who lives and who…

Statistics

Stream: What’s True and What’s False in Obama’s Latest Global Warming Claims

Today's post is at The Stream: What's True and What's False in Obama's Latest Global Warming Claims. There is so much hyperbolic language surrounding the topic of global warming that…

Statistics

Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper

The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper "Why models run hot" has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must…

Brian (bulaoren) on The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An AcademicMay 16, 2025
I now live in Arkansas, but over the course of my life, I have lived in a good few countries…
N. Ominous on The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!May 15, 2025
<> Yes, it's utterly absurd, but I'm not sure that it is an argument not to do the experiments. If…
Tony Cooke on Class 50: Independence Versus IrrelevanceMay 15, 2025
if you are using an Apple PC then you can use MathCapture to get the correct presentation of the probabilities…
Chaeremon on The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An AcademicMay 15, 2025
Re: business of conducting research> brave as I am, in 2008 I requested a quote from Science Exchange scienceexchange.com/s/about “Please…
Greg Ostman on New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s LookMay 14, 2025
All Astro physics to me but how about just take the numbers of vaxed and unvaxed then see how many…